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Where is the EU–UK relationship heading? A conjoint survey experiment of Brexit trade-offs

Author

Listed:
  • Simon Hix

    (Department of Political and Social Sciences, European University Institute, Florence, Italy)

  • Clifton van der Linden

    (Department of Political Science, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada)

  • Joanna Massie

    (Department of Political Science, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada)

  • Mark Pickup

    (Department of Political Science, Simon Fraser University, BC, Canada)

  • Justin Savoie

    (Department of Political Science, 7938University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada)

Abstract

The Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA) is the start of a new relationship between the UK and the European Union (EU). As the consequences of Brexit unfold, there will be pressure to change the TCA, either in a “softer†or “harder†direction. To determine the potential medium-term direction of the EU–UK relationship, we conducted a conjoint survey experiment with a sample of British voters, where we asked them to choose between different hypothetical package deals. When faced with such choices, British citizens overall mostly support a softer relationship in which the UK applies EU regulatory standards in return for greater access to the single market. However, Leave voters most often support a much harder trade-off of full regulatory sovereignty but continued restrictions on UK exports.

Suggested Citation

  • Simon Hix & Clifton van der Linden & Joanna Massie & Mark Pickup & Justin Savoie, 2023. "Where is the EU–UK relationship heading? A conjoint survey experiment of Brexit trade-offs," European Union Politics, , vol. 24(1), pages 184-205, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:eeupol:v:24:y:2023:i:1:p:184-205
    DOI: 10.1177/14651165221123155
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