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Analysis Of Quarterly Gdp Evolution In Real Terms In 2017

Author

Listed:
  • Madalina-Gabriela ANGHEL

    („Artifex” University of Bucharest)

  • Constantin ANGHELACHE

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies / „Artifex” University of Bucharest)

  • Tudor SAMSON

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies)

Abstract

Gross Domestic Product is the most complex indicator associated with the GDP per capita and purchasing power parity expresses the way in which conomic growth is achieved in a country. In the case of Romania as in other countries, according to Eurostat methodology, analyzes are made quarterly in order to uncover the trends existing in the evolution of this macroeconomic indicator in the sense of being able to take the necessary measures for the intensification of the economic growth. As the Gross Domestic Product indicator calculated at one year level and the evolution of the gross domestic product quarterly is done in the three phases, successively these data will be corrected. The authors present some methodological aspects regarding the signal estimations and the provisional estimates to ensure a correct picture of Romania’s economic evolution. It also notes that the quarterly gross domestic product signal estimates in Romanian national accounts are achieved by applying the direct method in view of the existence of infra-annual data sources and here we are considering the statistical surveys and other information that allow the calculation of this indicator . In more precise terms, the production method is used in the calculation of this indicator, based on the gross value added at the basic price used in the economy. The authors continue to analyze how gross domestic product evolved in the first three quarters of 2017, compared with the evolution of gross domestic product over the same three quarters, over a longer period from 2015 to 2017. The analysis is also based on the gross series as well as the seasonally adjusted series. To highlight the evolution of this indicator, this evolution is presented graphically between 2000 and 2017. It is noticed that after the crisis that was in the period 2008-2012, in 2013 start growing gross domestic product calculated quarterly.

Suggested Citation

  • Madalina-Gabriela ANGHEL & Constantin ANGHELACHE & Tudor SAMSON, 2017. "Analysis Of Quarterly Gdp Evolution In Real Terms In 2017," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 65(12), pages 127-136, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:rsr:supplm:v:65:y:2017:i:12:p:127-136
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. MARINCEAN Dan Andrei, 2019. "Innovation And Competitiveness," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(2), pages 385-394, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    quarterly GDP; gross series; seasonally adjusted series; contribution; fixed capital; final consumption;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth

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