“Path Dependence” In Developing Socio-Economic Space Of The Region. Part 2: Crisis Transformations Of The “Path Dependence” And Its Consequences For The Chelyabinsk Region[«Эффект Колеи» В Развитии Социально-Экономического Пространства Региона. Часть 2. Кризисная Трансформация «Эффекта Колеи» И Её Последствия Для Челябинской Области]

In the framework of studying the nature and social consequences of the “path dependence” (sustainable factors, trends and paradigms that have determined the region’s development for a long time), using the technologies of analysis and visualization of spatial development, the authors consider the influence of the institutional, financial and managerial crisis on the prospects for overcoming the formed negative trends - the current “ path dependence “ of the Chelyabinsk region’s development. The analysis makes it possible for the authors to assess the socio-economic situation that has developed over the past decade as stagnation in the region’s self-development, associated with an imbalance in money turnover and an active capital outflow from the real economy. The authors study and reveal close interconnection between crisis phenomena in the economy and the systemic deformation of the region’s institutional environment. One of the reasons for the regional crisis and the formation of a “stagnation rut” is corruption, which over the past decade has become an important institutional factor determining the monopolization of the economy, the erosion of political institutions, the decline in governance and the decline in public and business confidence in government. The authors present a model of the regional corruption evolution from the “market” to the “consensus” (network) form. According to the results of the analysis, the authors propose a number of assessments and solutions that make it possible to overcome the stagnation “rut” through improving and modernizing the institutional environment, the regional management system, as well as more efficient use of the region’s historically developed competitive advantages.