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How is Financial Stability Impacted by Political and Economic Stabilities in Emerging Markets? A Dynamic Panel Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Hasan Murat ERTUGRUL

    (Undersecretariat of Treasury, Turkey. Email1: murat.ertugrul@hazine.gov.tr)

  • Alper OZUN

    (Faculty of Law, University of Oxford, London, UK.)

  • Dervis KIRIKKALELI

    (Department of Banking and Finance, European University of Lefke, Lefke, Northern Cyprus, via Mersin-10-Turkey.)

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the impacts of political and economic stability on financial stability in the BRICT countries, namely Brazil, Russia, India, China and Turkey, by using dynamic cross-sectional analysis based on quarterly panel data sets. In the present study, we mainly employ the common correlated effects group mean (CCEGM) model, which adds a dynamic nature to panel data analysis. The empirical results show that there is a strong effect from political risk and economic deterioration towards financial stability. We discuss the policy implications of the findings for the emerging markets. Additionally, the applied methodology allows us to produce empirical findings for each country, thus facilitating country-specific discussions.

Suggested Citation

  • Hasan Murat ERTUGRUL & Alper OZUN & Dervis KIRIKKALELI, 2019. "How is Financial Stability Impacted by Political and Economic Stabilities in Emerging Markets? A Dynamic Panel Analysis," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 148-159, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2019:i:4:p:148-159
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Wei, Hua & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Ahmad, Ferhana & Zhang, Yuchen, 2020. "Resource cursed or resource blessed? The role of investment and energy prices in G7 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    2. DerviÅŸ Kirikkaleli & Mustafa Tevfik Kartal & Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo, 2022. "Time And Frequency Dependency Of Foreign Exchange Rates And Country Risk:Evidence From Turkey," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 25(1), pages 37-54, June.
    3. Huaiwen ZHANG & Adnan Khurshid & Xinyu WANG & Alina Mirela BĂLTĂŢEANU, 2021. "Corporate Financial Risk Assessment and Role of Big Data; New Perspective Using Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 181-199, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial stability; political stability; economic stability; dynamic panel data analysis; BRICT countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G00 - Financial Economics - - General - - - General

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