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The Impact of the Juncker Plan on Investors’ Beliefs

Author

Listed:
  • Adrian Cantemir CĂLIN

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, corresponding author.)

  • Oana Cristina POPOVICI

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy)

  • Gheorghe HURDUZEU

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies.)

Abstract

The third quarter of 2014 brought the first mentioning of what became known as the Juncker Plan. This extensive investment plan targeted the rejuvenation of the dynamics of investments across the European Union and quickly became a topic of interest for both political authorities and academics. In this paper we aim to fill a gap in the existing literature and investigate the reaction of financial markets to the information regarding the Investment Plan. For this purpose we employ an event study methodology constructed on 32 modeling specifications. The results point out to clear influences on all of the three classes of financial assets included in the study, which could be seen as a shift in investors’ expectations, given that the effects of the proposed policies are likely to be noticed in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Adrian Cantemir CĂLIN & Oana Cristina POPOVICI & Gheorghe HURDUZEU, 2017. "The Impact of the Juncker Plan on Investors’ Beliefs," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 150-165, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2017:i:3:p:150-165
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lucian Liviu Albu & Radu Lupu & Cantemir Adrian Călin & Oana Cristina Popovici, 2014. "Estimating the Impact of Quantitative Easing On Credit Risk through an ARMA-GARCH Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 39-50, October.
    2. Radu Lupu & Adrian Cantemir Calin, 2014. "To QE or Not to QE? The Japanese Experience," Hyperion Economic Journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Hyperion University of Bucharest, Romania, vol. 2(2), pages 3-10, June.
    3. Lucian Liviu ALBU & Radu LUPU & Adrian Cantemir CĂLIN, 2016. "Quantitative Easing, Tapering And Stock Market Indices," ECONOMIC COMPUTATION AND ECONOMIC CYBERNETICS STUDIES AND RESEARCH, Faculty of Economic Cybernetics, Statistics and Informatics, vol. 50(3), pages 5-23.
    4. Natacha Valla & Thomas Brand & Sébastien Doisy, 2014. "A New Architecture for Public Investment in Europe," CEPII Policy Brief 2014-04, CEPII research center.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Juncker plan; financial markets; volatility; investment sentiment; event study;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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