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Determinants of Participation in Accelerated Vehicle-Retirement Programs

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Author Info
Anna Alberini
Winston Harrington
Virginia McConnell

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Abstract

Accelerated vehicle-retirement programs are currently being examined as one way to reduce hydrocarbon emissions. Forecasting participation rates in these programs is one of the major areas of uncertainty because the number of participants and their characteristics are likely to vary with the price offered to attract old cars. We present a theoretical model of the owner's car tenure and scrappage decision. Next, we develop and estimate an econometric model of participation in an old-vehicle scrap program using data from a recent program in the state of Delaware. We then predict participation rates at different possible offer prices.

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File URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0741-6261%28199521%2926%3A1%3C93%3ADOPIAV%3E2.0.CO%3B2-M&origin=repec
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Publisher Info
Article provided by The RAND Corporation in its journal RAND Journal of Economics.

Volume (Year): 26 (1995)
Issue (Month): 1 (Spring)
Pages: 93-112
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Handle: RePEc:rje:randje:v:26:y:1995:i:spring:p:93-112

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  1. Don Fullerton & Sarah West, 1999. "Can Taxes on Cars and on Gasoline Mimic an Unavailable Tax on Emissions?," NBER Working Papers 7059, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Sandström, F. Mikael, 2003. "Car Age, Taxation, Scrappage Premiums and the ELV Directive," Working Paper Series 591, Research Institute of Industrial Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. Susanna Esteban, 2007. "Effective Scrappage Subsidies," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, Berkeley Electronic Press, vol. 7(1). [Downloadable!]
  4. Macauley, Molly & Hamilton, Bruce, 1998. "Competition and Car Longevity," Discussion Papers dp-98-20, Resources For the Future. [Downloadable!]
  5. Fullerton, Don & Stavins, Robert, 1998. "How Do Economists Really Think About the Environment?," Discussion Papers dp-98-29, Resources For the Future. [Downloadable!]
  6. George Bitros & Elias Flytzanis, 2004. "Utilization and Maintenance in a Model with Terminal Scrapping," Macroeconomics 0411016, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  7. Iwata, Kazuyuki & Arimura, Toshi, 2008. "Economic Analysis of a Japanese Air Pollution Regulation: An Optimal Retirement Problem under Vehicle Type Regulation in the NOx–Particulate Matter Law," Discussion Papers dp-08-15, Resources For the Future. [Downloadable!]
  8. Don Fullerton & Sarah West, 2000. "Tax and Subsidy Combinations for the Control of Car Pollution," NBER Working Papers 7774, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Harrington, Winston & McConnell, Virginia & Alberini, Anna, 1998. "Fleet Turnover and Old Car Scrap Policies," Discussion Papers dp-98-23, Resources For the Future. [Downloadable!]
  10. Eskeland, Gunnar S., 2000. "Environmental protection and optimal taxation," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2510, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  11. Maxim Engers & Monica Hartmann & Steven Stern, 2009. "Annual miles drive used car prices," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 1-33. [Downloadable!]
  12. Stavins, Robert, 2000. "Experience with Market-Based Environmental Policy Instruments," Working Paper Series rwp00-004, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  13. Stavins, Robert, 2005. "The Effects of Vintage-Differentiated Environmental Regulation," Working Paper Series rwp05-031, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  14. Shanjun Li & Roger von Haefen & Christopher Timmins, 2008. "How Do Gasoline Prices Affect Fleet Fuel Economy?," NBER Working Papers 14450, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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