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Estimation of Non–Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment in Iran s Provinces Based on Date-Filtering Methodology

Author

Listed:
  • Hosseinzade, Javad

    (Phd. Candidate in Economic, Azad University)

  • Hajbar Kiani, Kambiz

    (Assistant Prof, Azad University)

  • Rahmani, Taimor

    (Assistant Prof, University of Tehran)

  • Mehrara, Mohsen

    (Assistant Prof, University of Tehran)

Abstract

This paper survey the estimating methods of Non Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment in provinces of Iran. In this paper, statistical techniques and time series filtering methods (Hodrick-Prescott, Calman and Band-Po) have been used to estimate NAIRU during the period 2003-17. In the Band-Pass filtering method, we lose many observations at the beginning and the end of time series, so in this paper, we only used the results of the two methods of Hodrick-Prescott and Kalman filter. After estimating the model, the differences between the real unemployment rate and the NAIRU are calculated and provinces ranked based on these differences by using statistical tests. The results indicate an irregular trend in the gap between the real unemployment rate and the NAIRU in the entire country and provinces

Suggested Citation

  • Hosseinzade, Javad & Hajbar Kiani, Kambiz & Rahmani, Taimor & Mehrara, Mohsen, 2019. "Estimation of Non–Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment in Iran s Provinces Based on Date-Filtering Methodology," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 6(1), pages 51-76, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:qjatoe:0138
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    NAIRU unemployment; Data filtering; Unemployment fluctuation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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