IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ris/qjatoe/0131.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An Appraisal of Downside and Upside Risk Spillovers of Exchange Rates, Crude Oil and Gold Prices on Tehran Stock Exchange

Author

Listed:
  • Bargi Osguie, Mohammad Mehdi

    (Associate Professor of Economics, University of Tabriz)

  • Saghafi Killvana, Reza

    (Ph.D. in Economics, University of Tabriz, Iran)

Abstract

In this Paper, we examined the upside and downside Risk spillovers between exchanges rates, crude oil, gold, and stock prices in Iranian financial markets. Due to special characteristics of financial data, we used copula methods to assess correlation between returns of the markets and using VaR and CoVaR approaches we examined the risk spillovers between markets. Our data spans from 2006-07-19 to 2017-03-21. Results show that the correlations between the exchange rates and the stock prices, as well as the oil prices and the exchange rates were symmetric but the correlations between the gold prices and the stock prices as well as the crude oil prices and stock market were asymmetric and strong in the upper tails. CoVaR analysis shows that risk spillover effects between the stock and gold prices are stronger than the other variables. The relationship between exchange rates and oil prices against stock prices are considered to be mostly between returns but there are some risk spillovers too. In most cases upper risk spillovers are stronger than lower ones

Suggested Citation

  • Bargi Osguie, Mohammad Mehdi & Saghafi Killvana, Reza, 2019. "An Appraisal of Downside and Upside Risk Spillovers of Exchange Rates, Crude Oil and Gold Prices on Tehran Stock Exchange," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 5(4), pages 143-172, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:qjatoe:0131
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ecoj.tabrizu.ac.ir/article_8476_26e3ff45ed6c98be94fedb8ddcea68ba.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial markets; Spillover effects; VaR; CoVaR; Copulae;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F65 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Finance
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:qjatoe:0131. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sakineh Sojoodi (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/fetabir.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.