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Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy on Iran Housing Market: A Nonlinear MS-VAR Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Saghi, Farzad

    (Ph.D. Candidate in Economics, Department of Economics, Qazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University)

  • Hozhabr Kiani, kambiz

    (Professor of Economics, Faculty of Management and Economics, Islamic Azad University, Science and Research Branch)

  • Mirzapour Babajan, Akbar

    (Assistant Professor of Economics, Qazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University)

  • Akbari Moghaddam, Beytollah

    (Assistant Professor of Economics, Qazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University)

Abstract

Recent studies in housing market especially in the aftermath of 2007 financial crisis show that monetary policy has a main role in housing market and its impact can be asymmetric. In other words, the effect of monetary policy depends on the state of housing market and during bull and bear periods, the market can be differently affected by the monetary policy. As a result, the main objective of this paper is to investigate the asymmetric effects of monetary policy on Iran housing market using quarterly data during 1993-2017. To this end, we use the Markov Switching VAR model in which parameters change according to the phase of the housing cycle. The results suggest that monetary policy has asymmetric effects on housing market. Also, regime dependent Impulse Response Functions show that impact of monetary policy (with same sign and size) on housing market is larger in bear regime than in bull regime.

Suggested Citation

  • Saghi, Farzad & Hozhabr Kiani, kambiz & Mirzapour Babajan, Akbar & Akbari Moghaddam, Beytollah, 2018. "Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy on Iran Housing Market: A Nonlinear MS-VAR Approach," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 5(3), pages 75-102, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:qjatoe:0119
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; Housing prices; Markov switching;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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