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The 2019 assessment of the macroeconomic effects of the European Fund for Strategic Investments with the RHOMOLO-EIB model

Author

Listed:
  • Christensen, Martin

    (European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC))

  • Weiers, Georg

    (European Investment Bank (EIB), Luxembourg.)

  • Wolski, Marcin

    (European Investment Bank (EIB), Luxembourg.)

Abstract

The European Fund for Strategic Investments (EFSI) is the financial pillar of the Investment Plan for Europe. It tackles the post-crisis investment gap in the European Union (EU) and aims to revive investment in key areas in all the EU Member States. EFSI was launched in 2015 jointly by the European Investment Bank (EIB) Group and the European Commission. Every year, macroeconomic impact assessments are carried out using the spatial dynamic RHOMOLO-EIB model in order to gauge jobs and growth impact of the EFSI-supported operations in the EU. This article illustrates the methodology used for the assessment and reports the result of the latest set of simulations, corresponding to the portfolio of all approved EFSI-supported operations as of the June 13th EIB Board of Directors meeting, 2019. According to the results, EFSI is contributing significantly to job creation and growth. The estimates suggest that, by 2019, more than 1 million jobs are expected to be created thanks to the approved operations (1.7 million by 2022), with a positive contribution to GDP of 0.9% (1.8% expected by 2022) over the baseline.

Suggested Citation

  • Christensen, Martin & Weiers, Georg & Wolski, Marcin, 2019. "The 2019 assessment of the macroeconomic effects of the European Fund for Strategic Investments with the RHOMOLO-EIB model," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 45, pages 5-15.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:invreg:0409
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Martin Christensen & Georg Weiers & Andrea Conte & Marcin Wolski & Simone Salotti, 2019. "The European Fund for Strategic Investments: The Rhomolo-EIB 2019 update," JRC Research Reports JRC118260, Joint Research Centre.
    2. Stylianos Sakkas, 2018. "The macroeconomic implications of the European Social Fund: An impact assessment exercise using the RHOMOLO model," JRC Working Papers on Territorial Modelling and Analysis 2018-01, Joint Research Centre.
    3. Patrizio Lecca & Martin Christensen & Andrea Conte & Giovanni Mandras & Simone Salotti, 2020. "Upward pressure on wages and the interregional trade spillover effects under demand‐side shocks," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 99(1), pages 165-182, February.
    4. Barro, Robert J, 1990. "Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(5), pages 103-126, October.
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    6. Turnovsky, Stephen J. & Fisher, Walter H., 1995. "The composition of government expenditure and its consequences for macroeconomic performance," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 747-786, May.
    7. Patrizio Lecca & Javier Barbero Jimenez & Martin Aaroe Christensen & Andrea Conte & Francesco Di Comite & Jorge Diaz-Lanchas & Olga Diukanova & Giovanni Mandras & Damiaan Persyn & Stylianos Sakkas, 2018. "RHOMOLO V3:A Spatial Modelling Framework," JRC Research Reports JRC111861, Joint Research Centre.
    8. Lars Nilsson, 2018. "Reflections on the Economic Modelling of Free Trade Agreements," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 3(1), pages 156-186, June.
    9. Mark Thissen & Olga Ivanova & Giovanni Mandras & Trond Husby, 2019. "European NUTS 2 regions: construction of interregional trade-linked Supply and Use tables with consistent transport flows," JRC Working Papers on Territorial Modelling and Analysis 2019-01, Joint Research Centre.
    10. Stylianos Sakkas & Andrea Conte & Simone Salotti, 2018. "The impact of the European Social Fund: The RHOMOLO assessment," JRC Research Reports JRC113328, Joint Research Centre.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Javier Barbero & Olga Diukanova & Carlo Gianelle & Simone Salotti & Artur Santoalha, 2022. "Economic modelling to evaluate Smart Specialisation: an analysis of research and innovation targets in Southern Europe," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(9), pages 1496-1509, September.
    3. Filippo Di Pietro & Patrizio Lecca & Simone Salotti, 2021. "Regional economic resilience in the European Union: a numerical general equilibrium analysis," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 287-312, July.
    4. Patrizio Lecca & Simone Salotti & Andrea Conte, 2020. "The importance of studying inter-regional spillover effects of European policies: application of the RHOMOLO model for Poland," JRC Working Papers on Territorial Modelling and Analysis 2020-04, Joint Research Centre.
    5. Martin Christensen & Damiaan Persyn, 2022. "Endogenous labour supply and negative economic shocks in a large scale spatial CGE model of the European Union," JRC Working Papers on Territorial Modelling and Analysis 2022-13, Joint Research Centre.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Spatial general equilibrium; fiscal policy; investment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination

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