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Impact of COVID-19 on Global Stock Market Volatility

Author

Listed:
  • Kusumahadi, Teresia Angelia

    (Atma Jaya Catholic University of Indonesia, Indonesia)

  • Permana, Fikri C

    (Atma Jaya Catholic University of Indonesia, Indonesia)

Abstract

This study aims to examine the impact of COVID-19 on stock return volatility in 15 countries worldwide. Using daily data from January 2019 to June 2020, we find that changes in exchange rates have negatively affected stock returns in most countries. We also identify structural changes over the observation period; these structural changes occur not just after the first case of COVID-19 but also earlier in the period. Based on threshold generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity regressions, we find evidence that the emergence of COVID-19 affected stock return volatility in all observed countries except the United Kingdom. Furthermore, we find that the presence of COVID-19 in a country positively affects return volatility. However, the magnitude of this effect is small in every observed country. This finding suggests the need for in-depth studies of other factors that affect stock return volatility besides the occurrence of COVID-19.

Suggested Citation

  • Kusumahadi, Teresia Angelia & Permana, Fikri C, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 on Global Stock Market Volatility," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 36(1), pages 20-45.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:integr:0818
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Nupur Moni Das & Bhabani Sankar Rout & Yashmin Khatun, 2023. "Does G7 Engross the Shock of COVID 19: An Assessment with Market Volatility?," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(4), pages 795-816, December.
    2. Yee - Ee Chia & Ricky Chee - Jiun Chia & Mohd Ashari Bakri, 2023. "COVID-19 and stock liquidity: Evidence from top 30 Kuala Lumpur composite index," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(1), pages 280-294.
    3. Yue Qi & Yue Wang, 2023. "Innovating and Pricing Carbon-Offset Options of Asian Styles on the Basis of Jump Diffusions and Fractal Brownian Motions," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-22, August.
    4. Emre BULUT & Ahmed İhsan ŞİMŞEK, 2023. "The Relationship Between the Stock Market Volatility, Liquidity, Exchange Rate Return, and Stock Return During the COVID-19 Period: The case of the BIST 100 Index," Bingol University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Bingol University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 7(1), pages 121-135, June.
    5. Chang, Hao-Wen & Lin, Chinho, 2023. "Currency portfolio behavior in seven major Asian markets," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 540-559.
    6. Isabel Carrillo-Hidalgo & Juan Ignacio Pulido-Fernández & José Luis Durán-Román & Jairo Casado-Montilla, 2023. "COVID-19 and tourism sector stock price in Spain: medium-term relationship through dynamic regression models," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-24, December.
    7. Seyed Reza Tabatabaei Poudeh & Sungchul Choi & Chengbo Fu, 2022. "The Effect of COVID-19 on the Relationship between Idiosyncratic Volatility and Expected Stock Returns," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-11, March.
    8. Annika Fischer & Noel Opala & Svend Reuse & Martin Svoboda, 2022. "The Impact of the Corona Crisis on the Worldwide Stock Markets: An Empirical Analysis with Cross National Event Study Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(6), pages 162-172, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; stock return; volatility; structural change; ordinary least squares; threshold generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F65 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Finance
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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