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Revisiting the Factors behind European External Imbalances

Author

Listed:
  • A. Carrasco, Carlos

    (Universidad de Monterrey (UDEM))

  • Hernandez-del-Valle, Adrian

    (Instituto Politécnico Nacional (SEPI-ESE-IPN))

Abstract

In this paper, we develop four hypotheses for the origins of European imbalances in the context of the European economic integration process. To test the validity of our hypotheses for Germany and Spain, we implement an Autoregressive Distributed Lag bounds testing approach. According to our results, in the German case, economic and financial integration and non-price competitiveness have played a key role in the evolution of the external balance, whilst for Spain, the external balance is related to catching-up. In addition, there is no evidence of a long-run relationship between public finance and external imbalances. We derive important policy implications. On the one hand, deficit countries should ensure that the capital inflows from abroad are allocated to industries with high-added value. On the other hand, surplus countries require the implementation of an expansive economic policy, to lessen the burden of deficit countries when trying to address external imbalances.

Suggested Citation

  • A. Carrasco, Carlos & Hernandez-del-Valle, Adrian, 2017. "Revisiting the Factors behind European External Imbalances," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 32(2), pages 324-357.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:integr:0714
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Carlos A. CARRASCO & Edgar D. TOVAR-GARCIA, 2020. "Export Composition and the Eurozone Trade Balance in Manufacturing Goods," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 134-150, March.
    2. Ioannis Litsios & Keith Pilbeam, 2024. "Explaining and correcting trade imbalances between the Northern and Southern Eurozone: An empirical investigation," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 1079-1096, January.
    3. Boonman, Tjeerd & Litsios, Ioannis & Pilbeam, Keith & Pouliot, William, 2022. "Modelling the trade balance between the northern and southern eurozone using an intertemporal approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    European External Imbalances; Current Account; Economic Integration; Catching-up; Competitiveness;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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