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U.S. Federal Budget Deficits: An Exploratory Empirical Note on Determining Factors during the Carter and Reagan Administrations

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Abstract

This study empirically finds that the U.S. federal budget deficit during the years of the Carter and Reagan Administrations was an increasing function of the unemployment rate, the nominal 20-year Treasury bond interest rate yield, and federal government purchases of goods and services and a decreasing function of the maximum marginal federal personal income tax rate. Among other things, the results suggest, given the findings of previous studies, the possibility of a bi-directional relationship between budget deficits and long-term nominal interest rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Cebula , Richard J. & Kock, James V., 1999. "U.S. Federal Budget Deficits: An Exploratory Empirical Note on Determining Factors during the Carter and Reagan Administrations," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 52(3), pages 309-315.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:ecoint:0268
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    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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