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Türkiye’de Para Politikasının Risk Alma Kanalı: T-FAVAR Yönteminden Yeni Asimetrik Bulgular (Risk-Taking Channel of Monetary Policy in Turkey: New Asymmetric Evidences from Threshold FAVAR)

Author

Listed:
  • Akkoc, Ugur

    (Pamukkale University)

  • Ozgur, Onder

    (Ankara Yildirim Beyazit University)

Abstract

Risk taking channel of monetary policy claims that interest rate reductions have an impact on the economy via risk taking behaviour of banks. This study investigates the effectiveness of the risk-taking channel in Turkey using a Threshold FAVAR (T-FAVAR) model. The main aim of the study is to examine whether there is a change in the risk perception of banks in the low interest regime and thereby low policy rates lead to financial instability. We aim to contribute to the relevant literature by analyzing the risk-taking channel in two different regimes, determined by high and low interest rates. In this context, this study uses quarterly data for 19 Turkish commercial banks for the time period between 2003: Q1 and 2019: Q2. We conclude that the risk-taking channel is fairly strong in Turkish economy after 2003. Interest rate reductions and exchange rate shocks cause financial instability, and these effects are stronger in the high interest rate regime.

Suggested Citation

  • Akkoc, Ugur & Ozgur, Onder, 2021. "Türkiye’de Para Politikasının Risk Alma Kanalı: T-FAVAR Yönteminden Yeni Asimetrik Bulgular (Risk-Taking Channel of Monetary Policy in Turkey: New Asymmetric Evidences from Threshold FAVAR)," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 12(2), pages 287-305, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:buecrj:0543
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary Policy; Risk-Taking Channel; T-FAVAR; Impulse-Response Functions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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