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Time-series Properties of Earnings and Their Relationship with Stock Prices in Brazil

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  • Pimentel, Rene Coppe

    ()
    (The Foundation Institute of Accounting, Actuarial and Financial Research)

  • Lima, Iran Siqueira

    ()
    (University of Sao Paulo)

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    Abstract

    The aim of this paper is to analyze the firm-specific time-series properties of quarterly accounting earnings from 1995 to 2009. Based on the earning time-series process it is possible to develop robust forecasting models and to test the ability to approximate real capital market behaviour using accounting data. By analysing 71 listed Brazilian companies, we found evidence that the time series of quarterly accounting earnings in Brazil follow an autoregressive model (AR) and can be estimated (modelled) by using a seasonal component. Additionally, we found a significant relationship between earnings and stock prices, although the direction of the causality is not generally defined, which suggests that the earnings-return relationship must be analyzed at the firm-specific level.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences in its journal Business and Economics Research Journal.

    Volume (Year): 1 (2010)
    Issue (Month): 4 (October)
    Pages: 43

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    Handle: RePEc:ris:buecrj:0003

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    Keywords: Emerging markets; Time series; Accounting earnings; Capital market; Valuation;

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