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Analysis of the Relationship between Inflation, Unemployment and Economic Growth in Nigeria: 1987-2012

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  • Mohammed Yelwa
  • Okoroafor O.K.David
  • Awe, Emmanuel Omoniyi

Abstract

This paper provides analysis of the relationship between unemployment, inflation and economic growth in Nigeria: 1987-2012. The study utilizes secondary data to analyze the relationship between unemployment, inflation and economic growth. The methodology used for the study was ordinary least squares. The results confirms that in the long run, interest rate and total public expenditure have significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria, while inflation and unemployment has inverse effects on growth in Nigeria. The possible justification for the inverse effect of inflation on price level is that inflation may not be due to aggregate demand pressure but rather due to hiccups in the supply chain of goods both from the domestic and foreign supply outlets. Empirical deductions also signify the presence of significant feedback from the long run to short run disequilibrium. However, there exists a causal linkage between inflation, unemployment and economic growth in Nigeria. In conclusion, the paper recommended that the government must as a matter of necessity to improve or continue to fine-tune macroeconomic policy instruments to achieve a sustainable and enable environment that will enhance increase in domestic output.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammed Yelwa & Okoroafor O.K.David & Awe, Emmanuel Omoniyi, 2015. "Analysis of the Relationship between Inflation, Unemployment and Economic Growth in Nigeria: 1987-2012," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 2(3), pages 102-109, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:rfa:aefjnl:v:2:y:2015:i:3:p:102-109
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hlongwane, Nyiko Worship & Daw, Olebogeng David, 2021. "An increase of electricity generation can lead to economic growth in South Africa," MPRA Paper 111018, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Mehboob Ul Hassan & Muhammad Waqas Khalid & Ashar Sultan Kayani, 2016. "Evaluating the Dilemma of Inflation, Poverty and Unemployment," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 5(2), pages 67-82, June.
    3. Muhammad Murtaza & Muhammad Ayyoub & Aisha Riaz & Riaz Ahmed, 2023. "Examining Linkages between Poverty Alleviation and Macroeconomic Performance in Pakistan," Journal of Policy Research (JPR), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 9(2), pages 665-678.
    4. Nikolaos Dritsakis & Pavlos Stamatiou, 2016. "The Effects of Unemployment on Economic Growth in Greece. An ARDL Bound Test Approach," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 19(62), pages 53-72, December.
    5. Ekpeyong, Paul, 2023. "Econometric Analysis of the impact of inflation, unemployment, and economic growth on poverty reduction: A novel application of Asymmetric technique," MPRA Paper 117762, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Siyan, Peter & Adegoriola, Adewale E. & Adolphus, James Ademola, 2016. "Unemployment and Inflation: Implication on Poverty Level in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 79765, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Chukwuebuka Bernard Azolibe & Stephen Kelechi Dimnwobi & Chidiebube Peace Uzochukwu-Obi, 2022. "The Determinants of Unemployment Rate in Developing Economies: Does Banking System Credit Matter?," Working Papers 22/044, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    8. Chukwuebuka Bernard Azolibe & Stephen Kelechi Dimnwobi & Chidiebube Peace Uzochukwu-Obi, 2022. "The Determinants of Unemployment Rate in Developing Economies: Does Banking System Credit Matter?," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 22/044, African Governance and Development Institute..

    More about this item

    Keywords

    unemployment; inflation and economic growth;

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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