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Sunny Upside? The Relationship Between Sunshine and Stock Market Returns

Author

Listed:
  • Gary Smith

    (Pomona College)

  • Michael Zurhellen

    (Pomona College)

Abstract

"Weather can have profound effects on economic activity, most obviously agriculture, construction, and transportation. It has also been reported that the daily weather in New York City affects U. S. stock returns, a clear challenge to the efficient market presumption that rational investors will not let their assessment of a stock’s value be swayed by whether the sun happens to be shining. Studies claiming to have found a sunshine effect are clouded by differing methodologies which may have been chosen to buttress the results. We examine a fresh set of data and confirm the existence of a New York City sunshine effect which may have weakened over time as trading has become more geographically dispersed."

Suggested Citation

  • Gary Smith & Michael Zurhellen, 2015. "Sunny Upside? The Relationship Between Sunshine and Stock Market Returns," Review of Economic Analysis, Digital Initiatives at the University of Waterloo Library, vol. 7(2), pages 173-183, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:ren:journl:v:7:y:2015:i:2:p:173-183
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    weather and stock market; market efficiency;

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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