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Modelo de equilibrio general para el turismo nacional en Mexico

Author

Listed:
  • Perla Rocio Arellano Salazar

    (Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon)

  • Joana Cecilia Chapa Cantu

    (Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon)

Abstract

Se formula un modelo de equilibrio general de corto plazo (precios fijos) para dimensionar el peso del sector turismo en Mexico y analizar el efecto de choques exogenos como es el caso de la influenza AH1N1. El modelo considera 17 sectores productivos, 10 tipos de familias diferenciadas por el decil de ingreso, 2 factores productivos (trabajo y capital) y 10 bienes de consumo. El modelo se calibra usando una matriz de contabilidad social de la economia mexicana para el ano 2004 y la Cuenta Satelite del Turismo. De acuerdo con el modelo, el multiplicador del gasto en turismo nacional es 2.79. Esto significa que por cada peso gastado en turismo, 1.79 pesos mas son generados en la economia.

Suggested Citation

  • Perla Rocio Arellano Salazar & Joana Cecilia Chapa Cantu, 2017. "Modelo de equilibrio general para el turismo nacional en Mexico," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Finanzas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 14(2), pages 25-45, Julio-Dic.
    • Handle: RePEc:qua:journl:v:14:y:2017:i:2:p:25-45
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Turismo; modelo de equilibrio general; matriz de contabilidad social;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean
    • R13 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General Equilibrium and Welfare Economic Analysis of Regional Economies
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods

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