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Le concours des secteurs industriels au retour à l'équilibre extérieur

Author

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  • Philippe Cunéo
  • Magali Demotes-Mainard

Abstract

[fre] Rétablir l'équilibre de la balance commerciale en deux ans est un des objectifs majeurs inscrits dans les Prévisions glissantes détaillées effectuées sous l'égide du BIPE. Pour qu'il se réalise, l'industrie française devrait renouveler ses capacités de production de façon à profiter de la reprise lente prévue pour l'économie mondiale. Cet effort d'investissement supposerait un partage de la valeur ajoutée plus favorable aux entreprises. En même temps, la modération de la demande interne, et particulièrement de la consommation des ménages, limiterait la croissance des importations. Les gains de productivité dans les secteurs dynamiques et le ralentissement de la production des activités en déclin ne permettraient pas d'améliorer la situation de l'emploi industriel. [eng] Contributions of different industrial sectors to exterior equilibrium - To re-equilibriate the commercial balance within two years is one of the major objectives of the « detailed sliding forecasts » undertaken by the BIPE (1). In order for that to come about, French industry must renew production capacity in such a way as to be profitable for the slow world recovery that it now predicted. This investment effort presupposes a better division of added value for firms. At the same time, the moderate level of the domestic demand, and in particular the household consumption demand, limits the growth of imports. The productivity gains in the dynamic sectors and the slowing down of production of activities that are in decline does not allow for a bettering of the industrial sector employment. [spa] La ayuda de los sectores industriales para el restablecimiento del equilibrio exterior - Restablecer el equilibrio de la balanza comercial en dos anos es uno de los objetivos capitales que figuran en las previsiones resbaladizas pormenorizadas efectuadas bajo los auspicios del BIPE. Para poder Ilevarlo a efecto, la industria francesa debiere reformar sus capacidades productivas de manera a aprovechar la lenta reactivación prevista para la economía mundial. Este esfuerzo de inversion supondría una partición del valor anadido que fuere más provechoso para las empresas. Al propio tiempo, la moderación de la demanda interna y, en especial, del consumo de los hogares, limitaría el incremeto de las importaciones. Las ganancias de productividad en los sectores dinámicos y la ralentización de la producción de actividades decadentes permitirían mejorar la situación del empleo industrial.

Suggested Citation

  • Philippe Cunéo & Magali Demotes-Mainard, 1983. "Le concours des secteurs industriels au retour à l'équilibre extérieur," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 159(1), pages 27-37.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:ecstat:estat_0336-1454_1983_num_159_1_4791
    DOI: 10.3406/estat.1983.4791
    Note: DOI:10.3406/estat.1983.4791
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