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Les défaillances d'entreprises depuis dix ans : un tournant en 1974

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  • Jean Albert
  • Lucien Vialet

Abstract

[eng] Business Failures During the Past Ten Years : A Change in 1974 - Statistics on business failures from 1968 to October, 1977 turn out to be sensitive indicators of the actual economic situation. They show, in particular, the difficulties encountered by businesses in the crisis that began in 1974-1975. Starting in the middle of 1974, the figure of more than 1 000 firms that failed per month was surpassed, and since that time it has kept on. Sectoral analysis of this phenonemon indicates that the evolution of work activity, credit policy and banking behaviour are the determining factors. These indicators tell us why certain sectors are more affected than others, and whether it is sooner or later. [fre] Les défaillances d'entreprises depuis dix ans : un tournant en 1974 - La statistique des défaillances d'entreprises depuis 1968 jusqu'à octobre 1977 se révèle être un indicateur sensible de la situation conjoncturelle. Elle reflète en particulier nettement les difficultés des entreprises dans la crise amorcée en 1973-1974 : à partir du milieu de 1974, le cap de 1 000 défaillances par mois a été franchi, et depuis lors, sans retour. L'analyse sectorielle de ce phénomène montre qu'avec l'évolution de l'activité, la politique du crédit et les comportements bancaires en constituent les facteurs déterminants; ils expliquent notamment pourquoi certains secteurs se trouvent plus touchés que d'autres, plus tôt ou plus tard. [spa] Los fenecimientos de empresas desde hace diez anos : un giro en 1974 - La estadistica de fenecimientos de empresas desde 1968 hasta octubre de 1977 pone de manifesto un indicator patente de la situación coyuntural. Refleja netamente, en especial, las dificultades que experimentan las empresas a razón de la crisis iniciada en 1974-1975 : a partir de mediados de 1974, se superaron los 1 000 fenecimientos mensuales y desde aquellas fechas esta cifra no decreció. El anâlisis sectoral de ese fenómeno demuestra que con la evoluciôn de la actividad, la politica crediticia y los comportamientos bancarios constituyen los factores déterminantes; explican, en especial, por que razón algunos sectores se hallan, a la cortao a la larga, mas afectados que otros.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean Albert & Lucien Vialet, 1977. "Les défaillances d'entreprises depuis dix ans : un tournant en 1974," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 95(1), pages 33-41.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:ecstat:estat_0336-1454_1977_num_95_1_3104
    DOI: 10.3406/estat.1977.3104
    Note: DOI:10.3406/estat.1977.3104
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