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Insulin Resistance and Risk of Incident Cardiovascular Events in Adults without Diabetes: Meta-Analysis

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  • Karin B Gast
  • Nathanja Tjeerdema
  • Theo Stijnen
  • Johannes W A Smit
  • Olaf M Dekkers

Abstract

Background: Glucose, insulin and Homeostasis Model Assessment Insulin Resistance (HOMA-IR) are markers of insulin resistance. The objective of this study is to compare fasting glucose, fasting insulin concentrations and HOMA-IR in strength of association with incident cardiovascular disease. Methods: We searched the PubMed, MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, ScienceDirect and Cochrane Library databases from inception to March, 2011, and screened reference lists. Cohort studies or nested case-control studies that investigated the association between fasting glucose, fasting insulin or HOMA-IR and incident cardiovascular disease, were eligible. Two investigators independently performed the article selection, data extraction and risk of bias assessment. Cardiovascular endpoints were coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke or combined cardiovascular disease. We used fixed and random-effect meta-analyses to calculate the pooled relative risk for CHD, stroke and combined cardiovascular disease, comparing high to low concentrations of glucose, insulin or HOMA-IR. Study heterogeneity was calculated with the I2 statistic. To enable a comparison between cardiovascular disease risks for glucose, insulin and HOMA-IR, we calculated pooled relative risks per increase of one standard deviation. Results: We included 65 studies (involving 516,325 participants) in this meta-analysis. In a random-effect meta-analysis the pooled relative risk of CHD (95% CI; I2) comparing high to low concentrations was 1.52 (1.31, 1.76; 62.4%) for glucose, 1.12 (0.92, 1.37; 41.0%) for insulin and 1.64 (1.35, 2.00; 0%) for HOMA-IR. The pooled relative risk of CHD per one standard deviation increase was 1.21 (1.13, 1.30; 64.9%) for glucose, 1.04 (0.96, 1.12; 43.0%) for insulin and 1.46 (1.26, 1.69; 0.0%) for HOMA-IR. Conclusions: The relative risk of cardiovascular disease was higher for an increase of one standard deviation in HOMA-IR compared to an increase of one standard deviation in fasting glucose or fasting insulin concentration. It may be useful to add HOMA-IR to a cardiovascular risk prediction model.

Suggested Citation

  • Karin B Gast & Nathanja Tjeerdema & Theo Stijnen & Johannes W A Smit & Olaf M Dekkers, 2012. "Insulin Resistance and Risk of Incident Cardiovascular Events in Adults without Diabetes: Meta-Analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(12), pages 1-8, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0052036
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0052036
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    Cited by:

    1. Monika Starzak & Agata Stanek & Grzegorz K. Jakubiak & Armand Cholewka & Grzegorz Cieślar, 2022. "Arterial Stiffness Assessment by Pulse Wave Velocity in Patients with Metabolic Syndrome and Its Components: Is It a Useful Tool in Clinical Practice?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(16), pages 1-14, August.
    2. Nivedita Pavithran & Harish Kumar & Arun Somasekharan Menon & Gopala Krishna Pillai & Karimassery Ramaiyer Sundaram & Omorogieva Ojo, 2020. "South Indian Cuisine with Low Glycemic Index Ingredients Reduces Cardiovascular Risk Factors in Subjects with Type 2 Diabetes," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(17), pages 1-17, August.

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