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Stock Market Volatility under Sanctions

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  • Hojatallah Goudarzi

Abstract

Since 1979, Iran has faced with unilateral and multilateral harsh sanctions due to its nuclear energy program. These sanctions have resulted in significant problem to both sanctioned and sanctioning parties. Given the fact that sanctions have had significant impacts on Iran’s economy and since Iran stock market is the barometer of its economy, it is assumed that sanctions affect the Iranian stock market as well. To test this hypothesis, this study studied the Iranian stock market volatility during harsh sanctions using ARCH models. The study found that, despite all sanctions, not only Iran’s stock market shows major stylized facts of any stock market’s volatility i.e. volatility clustering, fat tails and mean reversion but also it shows no irregularity which could be attributed to effect of sanctions. This finding was consistent with Iranian stock market regulators claiming Iranian stock market growth and the U.S. Congressional Research Service report 2013. Therefore, based on findings, this study concluded that Iranian stock market has not affected by sanctions.

Suggested Citation

  • Hojatallah Goudarzi, 2014. "Stock Market Volatility under Sanctions," International Journal of Management and Sustainability, Conscientia Beam, vol. 3(4), pages 234-249.
    • Handle: RePEc:pkp:ijomas:v:3:y:2014:i:4:p:234-249:id:959
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    Cited by:

    1. Manuel Hoffmann & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2017. "The pro-Russian conflict and its impact on stock returns in Russia and the Ukraine," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 61-73, January.
    2. Nageri Kamaldeen Ibraheem, 2019. "Evaluating Good and Bad News During Pre and Post Financial Meltdown: Nigerian Stock Market Evidence," Studia Universitatis Babeș-Bolyai Oeconomica, Sciendo, vol. 64(3), pages 1-22, December.
    3. Kamaldeen Ibraheem Nageri, 2019. "Evaluating Voltality Persistence Of Stock Returtn In The Pre And Post 2008-2009 Financial Meltdown," Copernican Journal of Finance & Accounting, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 8(3), pages 75-94.
    4. Noah Farhadi & Hooshang Lahooti, 2023. "In Data We Trust: Proving Market Manipulation on the Tehran Stock Exchange," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 17(4), pages 1-1, February.

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