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The Exchange Rate Volatility and Moroccan Exports: An Empirical Investigation

Author

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  • Achraf Louati
  • Abdellah Echaoui
  • Abdelatif Mouatassim

Abstract

This article aims to study exchange rate volatility and its impact on exports. We examine using a VECM model the relationship between Moroccan exports and the volatility of the real effective exchange rate, over a period from the first quarter of 2000 to the first quarter of 2017. The methodology adopted takes into account the long-term relationship term between the variables, using the moving standard deviation as a measure of volatility and real-world GDP as a proxy for global demand. Although a large number of empirical studies find that exchange rate volatility tends to reduce the level of foreign trade. Our results indicate that the increase in exchange rate volatility has a positive effect on the demand for Moroccan exports. Also, the short-term dynamics show that the Granger causal effects of volatility on real exports are significant. Moreover, this article joins the empirical studies that confirm the risk-loving behaviour of exporters in the face of risk of fluctuating exchange rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Achraf Louati & Abdellah Echaoui & Abdelatif Mouatassim, 2022. "The Exchange Rate Volatility and Moroccan Exports: An Empirical Investigation," International Journal of Business, Economics and Management, Conscientia Beam, vol. 9(4), pages 109-120.
  • Handle: RePEc:pkp:ijobem:v:9:y:2022:i:4:p:109-120:id:3070
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