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A Re-examination of Fertility Transition in Pakistan

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  • Ghulam Yasin Soomro

    (Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad.)

Abstract

Pakistan is passing through an early stage of fertility transition. The slow-paced transition has been analysed in an earlier study done by Sathar and Casterline (1998), which concludes that the increase in the levels of prevalence has accelerated the fertility transition in Pakistan and as a consequence marital fertility has declined. However, this claim is not supported by the relevant statistics. A re-examination reveals that the effect of contraception is the lowest in the decline of fertility. The rise in marriages and breastfeeding has played a significant inhibiting role in the decline of fertility and marital fertility has remained constant. The structural adjustment programme (SAP), initiated in late 1980s, has led to more poverty and the proportion of never-married has increased in Pakistan as revealed by the Population Census 1998. Labour force participation by the females increased in the post-SAP period. The new economic situation appears to be indirectly responsible for the decline of fertility, and it appears to be consistent with the Malthusian macro theory of fertility.

Suggested Citation

  • Ghulam Yasin Soomro, 2000. "A Re-examination of Fertility Transition in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 39(3), pages 247-261.
    • Handle: RePEc:pid:journl:v:39:y:2000:i:3:p:247-261
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    File URL: http://www.pide.org.pk/pdf/PDR/2000/Volume3/247-261.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Zeba A. Sathar & M. Framurz Kiani, 1998. "Some Consequences of Rising Age at Marriage in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 37(4), pages 541-556.
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    Cited by:

    1. Syed Mubashir Ali & Mohammad Framurz K. Kiani, 2003. "Ageing and Poverty in Pakistan," MIMAP Technical Paper Series 2003:18, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    2. Syed Mubashir Ali & Jafar Hussain, 2001. "Fertility Transition in Pakistan: Evidence from Census," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 40(4), pages 537-550.
    3. Irfan, Mohammad, 2003. "Poverty and social safety nets: a case study of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 38082, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Ehsan U. Choudhri & Mohsin S. Khan, 2002. "The Exchange Rate and Consumer Prices in Pakistan: Is Rupee Devaluation In Inflationary?," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 41(2), pages 107-120.

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