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What are the Differences Between the Currencies of Foreign Exchange Loans?

Author

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  • Kiss, Gábor Dávid
  • Schuszter, Tamás

Abstract

Bank solvency is influenced by foreign currency lending – through fluctuations in the exchange rate of the currency on which the loans are based. The current paper analyses the extremity of these fluctuations and the time-variance of the currency correlations in the case of the Hungarian forint and Czech koruna (as a control variable) against the main FCL currencies like euro, Swiss franc and Japanese yen. We compared anomalies in the pricing of the currencies with the period before the crisis by dividing the five years of the crisis into three distinct periods on the basis of the main measures taken by the leading central banks, which impacted the currency markets. As a result of our analysis, we can conclude that following the development and prevalence of currency swap agreements, originally planned as a temporary measure, throughout the five year period, there was a reduction in the fluctuation of these floating currencies, combined with a decline in the historically close comovement of the European currencies. From an institutional development point of view, this serves to emphasise the significance of the crisis management model based on central banks’ cooperation and assumes the supervisory and regulatory mandates of the monetary policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Kiss, Gábor Dávid & Schuszter, Tamás, 2014. "What are the Differences Between the Currencies of Foreign Exchange Loans?," Public Finance Quarterly, Corvinus University of Budapest, vol. 59(2), pages 187-206.
  • Handle: RePEc:pfq:journl:v:59:y:2014:i:2:p:187-206
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    File URL: https://unipub.lib.uni-corvinus.hu/8924/
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    divergence; Central and Eastern Europe; currency market; extreme movement;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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