IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/pal/palcom/v10y2023i1d10.1057_s41599-023-01560-x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Exploring the global geography of cybercrime and its driving forces

Author

Listed:
  • Shuai Chen

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Mengmeng Hao

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Fangyu Ding

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Dong Jiang

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Jiping Dong

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Shize Zhang

    (Big Data Center of State Grid Corporation of China)

  • Qiquan Guo

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Chundong Gao

    (The Administrative Bureau of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

Cybercrime is wreaking havoc on the global economy, national security, social stability, and individual interests. The current efforts to mitigate cybercrime threats are primarily focused on technical measures. This study considers cybercrime as a social phenomenon and constructs a theoretical framework that integrates the social, economic, political, technological, and cybersecurity factors that influence cybercrime. The FireHOL IP blocklist, a novel cybersecurity data set, is used to map worldwide subnational cybercrimes. Generalised linear models (GLMs) are used to identify the primary factors influencing cybercrime, whereas structural equation modelling (SEM) is used to estimate the direct and indirect effects of various factors on cybercrime. The GLM results suggest that the inclusion of a broad set of socioeconomic factors can significantly improve the model’s explanatory power, and cybercrime is closely associated with socioeconomic development, while their effects on cybercrime differ by income level. Additionally, results from SEM further reveals the causal relationships between cybercrime and numerous contextual factors, demonstrating that technological factors serve as a mediator between socioeconomic conditions and cybercrime.

Suggested Citation

  • Shuai Chen & Mengmeng Hao & Fangyu Ding & Dong Jiang & Jiping Dong & Shize Zhang & Qiquan Guo & Chundong Gao, 2023. "Exploring the global geography of cybercrime and its driving forces," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-10, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:palcom:v:10:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1057_s41599-023-01560-x
    DOI: 10.1057/s41599-023-01560-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1057/s41599-023-01560-x
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1057/s41599-023-01560-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bastiaan Overvest & Bas Straathof, 2015. "What drives cybercrime? Empirical evidence from DDoS attacks," CPB Discussion Paper 306.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    2. Rajeev Goel & Michael Nelson, 2009. "Determinants of software piracy: economics, institutions, and technology," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 34(6), pages 637-658, December.
    3. Christos Andreas Makridis & Max Smeets, 2019. "Determinants of cyber readiness," Journal of Cyber Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 72-89, January.
    4. Daniel Castillo & Joseph Falzon, 2018. "An Analysis of the Impact of WannaCry Cyberattack on Cybersecurity Stock Returns," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 13, pages 93-100, August.
    5. Isaac Ehrlich, 1996. "Crime, Punishment, and the Market for Offenses," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 10(1), pages 43-67, Winter.
    6. Shashi Kant Srivastava & Saini Das & Godwin J. Udo & Kallol Bagchi, 2020. "Determinants of Cybercrime Originating within a Nation: A Cross-country Study," Journal of Global Information Technology Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 112-137, April.
    7. Paul A. Watters & Stephen McCombie & Robert Layton & Josef Pieprzyk, 2012. "Characterising and predicting cyber attacks using the Cyber Attacker Model Profile (CAMP)," Journal of Money Laundering Control, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 15(4), pages 430-441, October.
    8. Rainer Bruggemann & Peter Koppatz & Margit Scholl & Regina Schuktomow, 2022. "Global Cybersecurity Index (GCI) and the Role of its 5 Pillars," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 159(1), pages 125-143, January.
    9. M. Mitchell Waldrop, 2016. "How to hack the hackers: The human side of cybercrime," Nature, Nature, vol. 533(7602), pages 164-167, May.
    10. Nir Kshetri, 2010. "Diffusion and Effects of Cyber-Crime in Developing Economies," Third World Quarterly, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(7), pages 1057-1079.
    11. Bastiaan Overvest & Bas Straathof, 2015. "What drives cybercrime? Empirical evidence from DDoS attacks," CPB Discussion Paper 306, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    12. Michel J. G. van Eeten & Johannes M. Bauer & Hadi Asghari & Shirin Tabatabaie, 2010. "The Role of Internet Service Providers in Botnet Mitigation: An Empirical Analysis Based on Spam Data," OECD Science, Technology and Industry Working Papers 2010/5, OECD Publishing.
    13. Andrea Calderaro & Anthony J. S. Craig, 2020. "Transnational governance of cybersecurity: policy challenges and global inequalities in cyber capacity building," Third World Quarterly, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(6), pages 917-938, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Office of Financial Research (ed.), 2017. "2017 Financial Stability Report," Reports, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury, number 17-2.
    2. Milena Dinkova & Ramy El-Dardiry & Bastiaan Overvest, 2020. "Cyber incidents, security measures and financial returns: Empirical evidence from Dutch firms," CPB Discussion Paper 411.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    3. Milena Dinkova & Ramy El-Dardiry & Bastiaan Overvest, 2020. "Cyber incidents, security measures and financial returns: Empirical evidence from Dutch firms," CPB Discussion Paper 411, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    4. Corbet, Shaen & Gurdgiev, Constantin, 2019. "What the hack: Systematic risk contagion from cyber events," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    5. Antonio Acconcia & Marcello D'Amato & Riccardo Martina, 2003. "Corruption and Tax Evasion with Competitive Bribes," CSEF Working Papers 112, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    6. Entorf, Horst & Spengler, Hannes, 2000. "Socioeconomic and demographic factors of crime in Germany: Evidence from panel data of the German states," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 75-106, March.
    7. Tom Kirchmaier & Stephen Machin & Matteo Sandi & Robert Witt, 2020. "Prices, Policing and Policy: The Dynamics of Crime Booms and Busts," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 18(2), pages 1040-1077.
    8. Imrohoroglu, Ayse & Merlo, Antonio & Rupert, Peter, 2000. "On the Political Economy of Income Redistribution and Crime," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 41(1), pages 1-25, February.
    9. Carlos Esteban Posada, 1998. "Los mercados de instituciones y las instituciones endogenas," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 48, pages 149-168, Enero Jun.
    10. Milo Bianchi & Paolo Buonanno & Paolo Pinotti, 2012. "Do Immigrants Cause Crime?," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 10(6), pages 1318-1347, December.
    11. Allen, W. David, 2013. "Self-protection against crime victimization: Theory and evidence from university campuses," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 21-33.
    12. Alejandro Gaviria & Carlos Medina & Jorge Tamayo, 2010. "Assessing the Link between Adolescent Fertility and Urban Crime," Borradores de Economia 6860, Banco de la Republica.
    13. Arturo Bris, 2005. "Do Insider Trading Laws Work?," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 11(3), pages 267-312, June.
    14. Carmen van der Merwe & Martin de Wit, 2021. "An In-Depth Investigation into the Relationship Between Municipal Solid Waste Generation and Economic Growth in the City of Cape Town," Working Papers 07/2021, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics, revised 2021.
    15. Entorf, H. & Winker, P., 2008. "Investigating the drugs-crime channel in economics of crime models: Empirical evidence from panel data of the German States," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 8-22, March.
    16. Andrés, Antonio R. & Goel, Rajeev K., 2012. "Does software piracy affect economic growth? Evidence across countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 284-295.
    17. Marie Claire Villeval, 2019. "Comportements (non) éthiques et stratégies morales," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 70(6), pages 1021-1046.
    18. Otto Lenhart, 2021. "Earned income tax credit and crime," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 39(3), pages 589-607, July.
    19. Jaewook Byeon & Iljoong Kim & Dongwon Lee, 2018. "Protest and property crime: political use of police resources and the deterrence of crime," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 175(1), pages 181-196, April.
    20. William S. Reece, 2010. "Casinos, Hotels, And Crime," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 28(2), pages 145-161, April.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pal:palcom:v:10:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1057_s41599-023-01560-x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.nature.com/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.