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Finding the needles in the haystack: efficient intelligence processing

Author

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  • Nedialko B Dimitrov

    (The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA)

  • Moshe Kress

    (Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, USA)

  • Yuval Nevo

    (Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, USA)

Abstract

As a result of communication technologies, the main intelligence challenge has shifted from collecting data to efficiently processing it so that relevant, and only relevant, information is passed on to intelligence analysts. We consider intelligence data intercepted on a social communication network. The social network includes both adversaries (eg terrorists) and benign participants. We propose a methodology for efficiently searching for relevant messages among the intercepted communications. Besides addressing a real and urgent problem that has attracted little attention in the open literature thus far, the main contributions of this paper are two-fold. First, we develop a novel knowledge accumulation model for intelligence processors, which addresses both the nodes of the social network (the participants) and its edges (the communications). Second, we propose efficient prioritization algorithms that utilize the processor’s accumulated knowledge. Our approach is based on methods from graphical models, social networks, random fields, Bayesian learning, and exploration/exploitation algorithms.

Suggested Citation

  • Nedialko B Dimitrov & Moshe Kress & Yuval Nevo, 2016. "Finding the needles in the haystack: efficient intelligence processing," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 67(6), pages 801-812, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:pal:jorsoc:v:67:y:2016:i:6:p:801-812
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Sushil Gupta & Martin K. Starr & Reza Zanjirani Farahani & Mahsa Mahboob Ghodsi, 2020. "Prevention of Terrorism–An Assessment of Prior POM Work and Future Potentials," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 29(7), pages 1789-1815, July.
    2. Ben Hermans & Herbert Hamers & Roel Leus & Roy Lindelauf, 2019. "Timely exposure of a secret project: Which activities to monitor?," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 66(6), pages 451-468, September.

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