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Russia and the WTO: The "Gravity" of Outsider Status

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Author Info
Bogdan Lissovolik (International Monetary Fund)
Yaroslav Lissovolik (International Monetary Fund)
Abstract

With China's accession to the WTO in 2001, Russia is by far that organization's most prominent nonmember. This paper applies the gravity model to gauge whether this "outsider" status has been affecting Russia's export structure. On the basis of cross-section and panel regressions for 1995-2002, we find that Russian exports to WTO members have fallen short of the model's predictions. The paper discusses possible explanations of this result, including Russia's exclusion from various WTO procedures, although own-export restrictions could have a similar effect. The model points to Russia's further trade reorientation toward WTO members after a putative accession. Our results also prompt some ideas that may clarify the recent empirical controversy over the WTO's overall role in promoting trade. Copyright 2006, International Monetary Fund

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Article provided by Palgrave Macmillan Journals in its journal IMF Staff Papers.

Volume (Year): 53 (2006)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 1
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Handle: RePEc:pal:imfstp:v:53:y:2006:i:1:p:1

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Country and Industry Studies of Trade
F18 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Environment

Cited by:
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  1. Wilhelm Kohler & Gabriel Felbermayr, . "WTO Membership and the Extensive Margin of World Trade: New Evidence," Discussion Papers 09/06, University of Nottingham, GEP. [Downloadable!]
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