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On the Link between Dollarisation and Inflation: Evidence from Turkey1

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  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee

    (University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, USA)

  • Ilker Domaç

    (The Central Bank of Turkey, Turkey.)

Abstract

This paper investigates the role of dollarisation in the dynamics of inflation in Turkey. Descriptive analysis suggests that, in addition to high inflation and economic instability, institutional factors also played an important role in the evolution of dollarisation in Turkey. The empirical findings corroborate the importance of dollarisation in the dynamics of inflation. The results suggest that shocks to dollarisation initially lead to a decline in the monetary base as the public switches from domestic to foreign money holdings. However, the monetary base increases later on to generate the required inflation tax for a given budget deficit. The findings also indicate that the fiscal authority tries to compensate part of the decline in inflation tax through raising administered prices. As expected, the exchange rate responds positively to shocks to dollarisation owing to the high elasticity of substitution between domestic and foreign currency. Comparative Economic Studies (2003) 45, 306–328. doi:10.1057/palgrave.ces.8100022

Suggested Citation

  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Ilker Domaç, 2003. "On the Link between Dollarisation and Inflation: Evidence from Turkey1," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 45(3), pages 306-328, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:compes:v:45:y:2003:i:3:p:306-328
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    Cited by:

    1. Dilawar Khan & Nihal Ahmed & Bahtiyar Mehmed & Ihtisham ul Haq, 2021. "Assessing the Impact of Policy Measures in Reducing the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Case Study of South Asia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-12, October.
    2. Ayadi, Rym & Arbak, Emrah & Ben-Naceur, Sami & De Groen, Willem Pieter, 2013. "Determinants of Financial Development across the Mediterranean," CEPS Papers 7770, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    3. Kyriakos C. Neanidis & Christos S. Savva, 2006. "The Effects of Uncertainty on Currency Substitution and Inflation: Evidence from Emerging Economies," Economics Discussion Paper Series 0609, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    4. Metin-Özcan, Kıvılcım & Us, Vuslat, 2007. "Dedollarization in Turkey after decades of dollarization: A myth or reality?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 385(1), pages 292-306.
    5. Syed Jaffar Abbas & Noman Arshed, 2023. "Examining Determinants of Regional Inflation Heterogeneity — A Robust Panel Data Analysis," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, December.
    6. Alain Raybaut & Dominique Torre, 2004. "Unions monétaires, caisses d'émission et dollarisation: les fondements analytiques des changes "ultra-fixes"," Post-Print hal-00426914, HAL.
    7. Ibrahim D. Raheem, 2018. "Inflation rate of 14–16% is fair for the sub-Saharan African dollarization," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 42(4), pages 779-794, October.
    8. Choy, Swee Yew & Chit, Myint Moe & Teo, Wing Leong, 2021. "Sovereign credit ratings: Discovering unorthodox factors and variables," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    9. Michael Takudzwa Pasara & Rufaro Garidzirai, 2020. "The Boomerang Effects: An Analysis of the Pre and Post Dollarisation Era in Zimbabwe," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-20, April.
    10. Ari, Ali & Yılmaz, Ahmet & Cergibozan, Raif & Ozcan, Yunus, 2013. "The Inflation Dynamics of the Turkish Economy in 1990-2011 Period," MPRA Paper 95675, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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