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La protección social en Argentina en un contexto de transición demográfica

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  • Rafael Rofman
  • Ignacio Apella

Abstract

Argentina se encuentra inmersa en un proceso de transición demográficahacia una estructura poblacional de mayor edad. Esto tiene efectos sobre lacantidad y suficiencia de las transferencias realizadas a través del sistemade protección social. A partir del perfil de erogaciones por edad, siguiendola metodología provista por las cuentas nacionales de transferencias, sesimula la tendencia del gasto en protección social hasta el año 2100. Losresultados hallados sugieren que el gasto total del sistema de protecciónsocial tendería a aumentar hasta el 16% del PBI en 2050 y hasta cerca del24% del PBI en 2100.

Suggested Citation

  • Rafael Rofman & Ignacio Apella, 2016. "La protección social en Argentina en un contexto de transición demográfica," Apuntes. Revista de ciencias sociales, Fondo Editorial, Universidad del Pacífico, vol. 43(78), pages 89-120.
  • Handle: RePEc:pai:apunup:es-78-04
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    File URL: http://revistas.up.edu.pe/index.php/apuntes/article/view/753
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    Cited by:

    1. Hugo Bertín, 2019. "ANSES: de la seguridad social a la protección social, 1998-2017," CEFIP, Working Papers 028, CEFIP, Universidad Nacional de La Plata.

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