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Razón de cambio en la recaudación del Impuesto al Valor Agregado en México || Rate of change in the collection of Value Added Tax in Mexico

Author

Listed:
  • Lagunas Puls, Sergio

    (Departamento de Economía y Negocios. Universidad del Caribe (México))

  • Aguilar Gutiérrez, Genaro

    (Escuela Superior de Economía. Instituto Politécnico Nacional (México))

Abstract

El objetivo del presente artículo es identificar los meses en que en México se consumen más productos y servicios gravados con el Impuesto al Valor Agregado (IVA), mediante la razón porcentual de cambio (velocidad recaudación/mes) a partir de la información del año 2003 y hasta el mes de agosto 2015. Para cada uno de los meses de la serie, se obtiene la ecuación polinómica de mejor ajuste, empleándola para estimar la recaudación mensual y comparando estos valores con los obtenidos a partir de la primera derivada. Los resultados muestran que los meses de marzo, abril y diciembre presentan una mayor velocidad en la recaudación/mes, lo que representa que el consumo efectivo se manifiesta en los meses previos a esta captación, dicho de otra forma, los períodos en que los mexicanos consumen más productos y servicios son febrero, marzo y noviembre. || The objective of this paper is to identify the months in which more products and services are consumed in Mexico with the Value Added Tax (VAT), using the percentage change ratio (collection speed / month) based on the information for the year 2003 and until the month of August 2015. For each of the months of the series, the best fitting polynomial equation is obtained, using it to estimate the monthly collection and comparing these values with those obtained from the first derivative. The results show that the months of March, April and December present a greater speed in the collection / month, which represents that the effective consumption manifests itself in the months prior to this capture, in other words, the periods in which the Mexicans consume more products and services are February, March and November.

Suggested Citation

  • Lagunas Puls, Sergio & Aguilar Gutiérrez, Genaro, 2019. "Razón de cambio en la recaudación del Impuesto al Valor Agregado en México || Rate of change in the collection of Value Added Tax in Mexico," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 27(1), pages 3-29, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:pab:rmcpee:v:27:y:2019:i:1:p:3-29
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    impuesto al valor agregado; razón de cambio; recaudación en México; value added tax; rate of change; fiscal system in México.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables

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