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¿Pueden considerarse significativas las reformas fiscales de México? || Can the Tax Reforms in Mexico be Considered Significant?

Author

Listed:
  • Lagunas Puls, Sergio

    (Universidad del Caribe, Cancún (México))

  • Ramírez Pacheco, Julio César

    (Universidad del Caribe, Cancún (México))

Abstract

Se establece como objetivo general, analizar la significancia estadística de cambios en la recaudación del Impuesto Sobre la Renta (ISR) y del Impuesto al Valor Agregado (IVA), a partir del año 2000 y hasta el segundo trimestre del 2015, para afirmar o no la variación en la recaudación. Para lograrlo se aplican métodos clásicos con valor crítico significante a 0,05 de alfa, pero complementándolo parámetro delta para establecer el nivel de cambio en poco significante, medianamente significante o de gran significancia. En las conclusiones se deja antecedente que a pesar de lo que parecieran como impactantes cambios en materia fiscal que pudieron haber incidido positiva o negativamente en el pago del ISR e IVA, tales como el acotamiento del régimen de consolidación fiscal, gravámenes complementarios, hasta llegar a la homologación del IVA a tasa 16% para todo el país, en la mayoría de los casos, no se obtuvo evidencia para argumentar eficiencia en la recaudación nacional. || It is the purpose of this work to analyze the significance of changes in average for the collection of value-added (VAT) and income taxes from year 2000 and up to the second quarter of 2015. To accomplish that, classic methods of significance will be applied, but contrasted with tests for the typified difference of the average, fundamental parameters of the meta-analysis Cohen's Delta. The main conclusions are that although there have been relevant changes in the tax collection process such as limits in the tax consolidation regime, complementary taxes e.g., flat rate business tax, substitute tax credit to wages, tax on cash deposits and the standardization of the VAT to 16%, there is no strong evidence to state an efficient national tax collection system.

Suggested Citation

  • Lagunas Puls, Sergio & Ramírez Pacheco, Julio César, 2016. "¿Pueden considerarse significativas las reformas fiscales de México? || Can the Tax Reforms in Mexico be Considered Significant?," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 22(1), pages 78-103, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:pab:rmcpee:v:22:y:2016:i:1:p:78-103
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    recaudación fiscal; reforma fiscal; cambios en ISR e IVA; nivel de significancia; tax collection; tax reform; changes in value-added and income taxes; significance levels;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H21 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Efficiency; Optimal Taxation
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting
    • M48 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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