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January Effect and Market Conditions: a Case of Romania

Author

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  • Aurora Murgea

    (Department of Finance, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration West University from Timisoara)

Abstract

One of the first steps in discovery is the awareness of anomaly. Very often nature violates the expectations that rule the normal science. This paper examines the anomalies that can arise on capital markets, with an emphasis on the January effect. Several hypotheses are proposed in order to explain the abnormal returns recorded by small firms in the first month of the year: the window-dressing hypothesis, tax loss selling hypothesis or the ‘not so rational’ behaviour of the investors. Using the BET index from 2000 to 2014 and a dummy variable as a proxy for January effect, it can be noticed that Romanian capital market seems to be prone to experience higher returns especially in the less volatile period, as the one before the crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Aurora Murgea, 2015. "January Effect and Market Conditions: a Case of Romania," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(2), pages 488-493, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:ovi:oviste:v:xv:y:2015:i:2:p:488-493
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    capital markets; anomalies; January effect; efficiency;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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