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Confidence Indexes and Their Influence on Macroeconomic Information on the Romanian Market

Author

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  • Þiþan Alexandra Gabriela

    (Faculty of Finance, Insurance, Banking and Stock Exchange, Bucharest University of Economic Studies)

Abstract

Investors’ behavior is considered one of the factors influencing the economy in general. Whether their behavior is rational or irrational is an extensively discussed subject, presented on a large body of literature. This paper presents a research of how financial analysts’ opinions may affect the future of the Romanian economy. We use the CFA Romania Macroeconomic Confidence Index in an empirical research to find whether the past values of the CFA Index have a significant influence on the future values of macroeconomic information on the Romanian market. After performing normality tests and after testing the data for autocorrelation, cross correlation, multicollinearity, regressions were performed. Using regressions’ indicators, projected data was obtained and compared with real data. Tests were realized to determine whether the projected data are significantly different from the real data or not. The conclusion is that part of the macroeconomic data is influenced by analysts’ opinions regarding the evolution of the Romanian market.

Suggested Citation

  • Þiþan Alexandra Gabriela, 2014. "Confidence Indexes and Their Influence on Macroeconomic Information on the Romanian Market," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(2), pages 597-601, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:ovi:oviste:v:xiv:y:2014:i:2:p:597-601
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Behavior finance; investors’ confidence; CFA Romania Macroeconomic Confidence Index;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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