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Diesel prices in Brazil: A dynamic fractional integration analysis

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  • Derick David Quintino
  • Paulo Ferreira

Abstract

We investigate the behaviour of retail diesel prices in Brazil using fractional integration, with weekly data from January 2010 to April 2020. In this period, we have 3 episodes of relevant economic implications in the country under analysis: i) impeachment of the Brazilian President; ii) the lorry-drivers’ strike; iii) the rise of the global Covid-19 epidemic. We use a sliding windows approach to analyze price dynamics over time. The results suggest that, at the beginning of the sample, prices were non-stationary and non-mean reverting but over the time results changed in the different regions. Results are relevant for market agents and policy-makers, as it can be inferred whether exogenous shocks are temporary, despite taking some time to dissipate completely.

Suggested Citation

  • Derick David Quintino & Paulo Ferreira, 2021. "Diesel prices in Brazil: A dynamic fractional integration analysis," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 10(2), pages 116-125.
  • Handle: RePEc:ove:journl:aid:15233
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    File URL: https://reunido.uniovi.es/index.php/EBL/article/view/15233
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    Cited by:

    1. Derick Quintino & José Telo da Gama & Paulo Ferreira, 2021. "Cross-Correlations in Meat Prices in Brazil: A Non-Linear Approach Using Different Time Scales," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-12, September.
    2. Palazzi, Rafael Baptista & Meira, Erick & Klotzle, Marcelo Cabus, 2022. "The sugar-ethanol-oil nexus in Brazil: Exploring the pass-through of international commodity prices to national fuel prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).

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