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Carbon Tail Risk
[Measuring economic policy uncertainty]

Author

Listed:
  • Emirhan Ilhan
  • Zacharias Sautner
  • Grigory Vilkov

Abstract

Strong regulatory actions are needed to combat climate change, but climate policy uncertainty makes it difficult for investors to quantify the impact of future climate regulation. We show that such uncertainty is priced in the option market. The cost of option protection against downside tail risks is larger for firms with more carbon-intense business models. For carbon-intense firms, the cost of protection against downside tail risk is magnified at times when the public’s attention to climate change spikes, and it decreased after the election of climate change skeptic President Trump.

Suggested Citation

  • Emirhan Ilhan & Zacharias Sautner & Grigory Vilkov, 2021. "Carbon Tail Risk [Measuring economic policy uncertainty]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(3), pages 1540-1571.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:34:y:2021:i:3:p:1540-1571.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rfs/hhaa071
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. So Ra Park & Jae Young Jang, 2021. "The Impact of ESG Management on Investment Decision: Institutional Investors’ Perceptions of Country-Specific ESG Criteria," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-27, September.
    2. Drudi, Francesco & Moench, Emanuel & Holthausen, Cornelia & Weber, Pierre-François & Ferrucci, Gianluigi & Setzer, Ralph & Adao, Bernardino & Dées, Stéphane & Alogoskoufis, Spyros & Téllez, Mar Delgad, 2021. "Climate change and monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 271, European Central Bank.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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