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The Informational Role of Stock and Bond Volume

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  • Kerry Back
  • Kevin Crotty

Abstract

In a Kyle (1985) model, the sign of the correlation between a firm's debt and equity returns is the same as the sign of the cross-market Kyle's lambda. The sign is positive (negative) if private information concerns the mean (risk) of the firm's assets. We show empirically that information conveyed by order flows is primarily about asset means. The cross-market lambdas are quite large; consequently, the portions of bond and stock returns explained by order flows are highly correlated, even though the order flows themselves are virtually uncorrelated.

Suggested Citation

  • Kerry Back & Kevin Crotty, 2015. "The Informational Role of Stock and Bond Volume," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(5), pages 1381-1427.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:28:y:2015:i:5:p:1381-1427.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rfs/hhu094
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    Cited by:

    1. Cao, N. & Galvani, V. & Gubellini, S., 2017. "Firm-specific stock and bond predictability: New evidence from Canada," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 174-192.
    2. Yamani, Ehab, 2023. "Return–volume nexus in financial markets: A survey of research," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    3. Kim, Donghan & Kim, Hyun-Dong & Joe, Denis Yongmin & Oh, Ji Yeol Jimmy, 2021. "Institutional investor heterogeneity and market price dynamics: Evidence from investment horizon and portfolio concentration," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).

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