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Evaluating an Alternative Risk Preference in Affine Term Structure Models

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Author Info
Jefferson Duarte
Abstract

Dai and Singleton (2002) and Duffee (2002) show that there is a tension in affine term structure models between matching the mean and the volatility of interest rates. This article examines whether this tension can be solved by an alternative parametrization of the price of risk. The empirical evidence suggests that, first, the examined parametrization is not sufficient to solve the mean-volatility tension. Second, the usual result in the estimation of affine models, indicating that some of the state variables are extremely persistent, may have been caused by the lack of flexibility in the parametrization of the price of risk. Copyright 2004, Oxford University Press.

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Article provided by Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies in its journal The Review of Financial Studies.

Volume (Year): 17 (2004)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 379-404
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Handle: RePEc:oup:rfinst:v:17:y:2004:i:2:p:379-404

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  1. Esben Hoeg & Per Frederiksen, 2006. "The Fractional OU Process: Term Structure Theory and Application," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 194, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Ait-Sahalia, Yacine & Kimmel, Robert L., 2008. "Estimating Affine Multifactor Term Structure Models Using Closed-Form Likelihood Expansions," Working Paper Series 2008-19, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Høg, Espen P. & Frederiksen, Per H., 2006. "The Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process: Term Structure Theory and Application," Finance Research Group Working Papers F-2006-01, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies. [Downloadable!]
  4. Kim, Don H. & Orphanides, Athanasios, 2005. "Term Structure Estimation with Survey Data on Interest Rate Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 5341, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Antonio Diez de los Rios, 2006. "Can Affine Term Structure Models Help Us Predict Exchange Rates?," Working Papers 06-27, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Shu Wu, 2005. "Interest Rate Risk and the Forward Premium Anomaly in Foreign Exchange Markets," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200519, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2005. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Hans Dewachter & Marco Lyrio & Konstantijn Maes, 2006. "A multi-factor model for the valuation and risk managment of demand deposits," Research series 200605-2, National Bank of Belgium. [Downloadable!]
  8. Høg, Esben & Frederiksen, Per & Schiemert, Daniel, 2008. "On the Generalized Brownian Motion and its Applications in Finance," Finance Research Group Working Papers F-2008-07, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies. [Downloadable!]
  9. Torben G. Andersen & Luca Benzoni, 2007. "Do Bonds Span Volatility Risk in the U.S. Treasury Market? A Specification Test for Affine Term Structure Models," CREATES Research Papers 2007-25, School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus. [Downloadable!]
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  10. Monfort, A. & Pegoraro, F., 2007. "Switching VARMA Term Structure Models - Extended Version," Documents de Travail 191, Banque de France. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Kimmel, Robert L., 2007. "Complex Times: Asset Pricing and Conditional Moments under Non-affine Diffusions," Working Paper Series 2007-6, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics. [Downloadable!]
  12. Georg Mosburger & Paul Schneider, 2005. "Modelling International Bond Markets with Affine Term Structure Models," Finance 0509003, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  13. Monfort, A. & Pegoraro, F., 2007. "Multi-Lag Term Structure Models with Stochastic Risk Premia," Documents de Travail 189, Banque de France. [Downloadable!]
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