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Social Experimentation with Interdependent and Expanding Technologies

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  • Umberto Garfagnini
  • Bruno Strulovici

Abstract

How do successive, forward-looking agents experiment with interdependent and endogenous technologies? In this article, trying a radically new technology not only is informative of the value of similar technologies, but also reduces the cost of experimenting with them, in effect expanding the space of affordable technologies. Successful radical experimentation has mixed effects: it improves the immediate outlook for further experimentation but decreases the value and the marginal value of experimentation in a longer term, resulting in less ambitious "incremental" experimentation and in a reduced size of radical experimentation. Incremental experimentation lowers the option value of similar technologies, which may spur a new wave of radical experimentation. However, experimentation eventually stagnates for all parameters of the model.

Suggested Citation

  • Umberto Garfagnini & Bruno Strulovici, 2016. "Social Experimentation with Interdependent and Expanding Technologies," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 83(4), pages 1579-1613.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:restud:v:83:y:2016:i:4:p:1579-1613.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/restud/rdw008
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    Cited by:

    1. Can Urgun & Leeat Yariv, 2021. "Retrospective Search: Exploration and Ambition on Uncharted Terrain," Working Papers 2021-33, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    2. Annie Liang & Xiaosheng Mu & Vasilis Syrgkanis, 2022. "Dynamically Aggregating Diverse Information," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(1), pages 47-80, January.
    3. Annie Liang & Xiaosheng Mu & Vasilis Syrgkanis, 2019. "Dynamically Aggregating Diverse Information," PIER Working Paper Archive 19-005, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    4. Pavan, Alessandro & Fershtman, Daniel, 2020. "Sequential Learning with Endogenous Consideration Sets," CEPR Discussion Papers 15018, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Annie Liang & Xiaosheng Mu & Vasilis Syrgkanis, 2021. "Dynamically Aggregating Diverse Information," Working Papers 2021-43, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    6. Annie Liang & Xiaosheng Mu & Vasilis Syrgkanis, 2019. "Dynamically Aggregating Diverse Information," Papers 1910.07015, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2021.
    7. Yariv, Leeat & Urgun, Can, 2020. "Retrospective Search: Exploration and Ambition on Uncharted Terrain," CEPR Discussion Papers 15534, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

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