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The Value Premium
[Fundamentals and stock returns in Japan]

Author

Listed:
  • Eugene F Fama
  • Kenneth R French

Abstract

Value premiums, which we define as value portfolio returns in excess of market portfolio returns, are on average much lower in the second half of the July 1963–June 2019 period. But the high volatility of monthly premiums prevents us from rejecting the hypothesis that expected premiums are the same in both halves of the sample. Regressions that forecast value premiums with book-to-market ratios in excess of market (BM–BMM) produce more reliable evidence of second-half declines in expected value premiums, but only if we assume the regression coefficients are constant during the sample period.Received: January 21, 2020; editorial decision: July 21, 2020; Editor: Jeffrey Pontiff.

Suggested Citation

  • Eugene F Fama & Kenneth R French, 2021. "The Value Premium [Fundamentals and stock returns in Japan]," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 11(1), pages 105-121.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:rasset:v:11:y:2021:i:1:p:105-121.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rapstu/raaa021
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Gonçalves, Andrei S. & Leonard, Gregory, 2023. "The fundamental-to-market ratio and the value premium decline," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(2), pages 382-405.
    2. Yu-Shang Kuo & Jen-Tsung Huang, 2022. "Factor-Based Investing in Market Cycles: Fama–French Five-Factor Model of Market Interest Rate and Market Sentiment," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-24, October.
    3. Leonardo Cadamuro & Tokuo Iwaisako, 2023. "Value Premium in Japanese Market: Statistical (Re)appraisal," Working Papers e180, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
    4. Cong, Lin William & George, Nathan Darden & Wang, Guojun, 2023. "RIM-based value premium and factor pricing using value-price divergence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    5. Vinay Khandelwal & Prashant Sharma & Varun Chotia, 2023. "ESG Disclosure and Firm Performance: An Asset-Pricing Approach," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-22, June.
    6. Smith, Simon C. & Timmermann, Allan, 2022. "Have risk premia vanished?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(2), pages 553-576.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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