Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency Tests in Sub-Saharan Africa
AbstractAre frequents in freely floating exchange rates attributable to stabilising speculation reflecting changes in the fundamental determinants of currencies or to destabilising behaviour of various kinds, driving prices away from fundamentals, and creating 'excess' volatility? This paper, motivated by the need to assess appropriate tests for efficiency for the growing range of liberalised and liberalising foreign exchange markets in Sub-Saharan African countries, has the following objectives: ( ) briefly to survey the empirical methodology for testing market efficiency in the forex market, with an emphasis on integrating the new cointegration methodology; (ii) highlighting the significant data difficulties in empirical work, given controls and frequent structural breaks, for the use of these techniques in Africa; (iii) illustrating the way in which some of these techniques can be applied in South Africa and some other African countries; and (iv) suggesting further research on efficiency that could be carried out using similar data. Copyright 1997 by Oxford University Press.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE) in its journal Journal of African Economies.
Volume (Year): 6 (1997)
Issue (Month): 3 (Supplement)
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- Nikolaos Giannellis & Athanasios Papadopoulos, 2006.
"Testing for Efficiency in Selected Developing Foreign Exchange Markets: An Equilibrium-based Approach,"
0717, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
- Giannellis, Nikolaos & Papadopoulos, Athanasios P., 2009. "Testing for efficiency in selected developing foreign exchange markets: An equilibrium-based approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 155-166, January.
- Janine Aron & John Muellbauer & B. Smit, 2004.
"A Structural Model of the Inflation Process in South Africa,"
CSAE Working Paper Series
2004-08, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
- Janine Aron & John Muellbauer & Benjamin Smit, 2004. "A Structural Model of the Inflation Process in South Africa," Development and Comp Systems 0409055, EconWPA.
- Janine Aron & John Muellbauer & Benjamin W. Smit, 2004. "A Structural Model of the Inflation Process in South Africa," Economics Series Working Papers WPS/2004-08, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Oludele Akinloye Akinboade & Franz Krige Siebrits & Elizabeth Wambach Niedermeier, 2004. "The determinants of inflation in South Africa: An econometric analysis," Research Papers RP_143, African Economic Research Consortium.
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