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African Regional Agreements: Impact on Trade with or without Currency Unions

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Author Info
Céline Carrère

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Abstract

The aim of this paper is (i) to assess the impact of regional agreements on members' trade in Sub-Saharan Africa (intra-regional trade as well as trade with the rest of the world), controlling for the other traditional determinants and (ii) to compare the respective effect of the preferential trade agreements and the currency unions. Considering the period 1962--96, we first assess the average impact of each regional agreement on their implementation period and second we show how these impacts have evolved. An 'augmented' gravity model is designed, relying on a transport cost function, in which specific dummies allow trade creation and trade diversion effects to be separated. The model is estimated in panel with bilateral specific effects, to isolate the non-observable characteristics of each pair of countries and according to the Hausman--Taylor (1981) method, which takes into account a possible endogeneity of some explanatory variables. During their implementation, the African regional trade agreements have generated a significant increase in trade between members, although initially often through trade diversion. In the two agreements of the CFA franc zone, the currency unions have largely reinforced the positive effect of the corresponding preferential trade agreements on intra-regional trade, while dampening their trade diversion effect. Copyright 2004, Oxford University Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Oxford University Press in its journal Journal of African Economies.

Volume (Year): 13 (2004)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 199-239
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Handle: RePEc:oup:jafrec:v:13:y:2004:i:2:p:199-239

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  1. Cipollina, Maria & Salvatici, Luca, 2007. "EU and developing countries: an analysis of preferential margins on agricultural trade flows," Working Papers 7219, TRADEAG - Agricultural Trade Agreements. [Downloadable!]
  2. Garth Frazer & Johannes Van Biesebroeck, 2007. "Trade Growth under the African Growth and Opportunity Act," NBER Working Papers 13222, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Bezuidenhout, Henri & Naude, Wim, 2008. "Foreign Direct Investment and Trade in the Southern African Development Community," Working Papers RP2008/88, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER). [Downloadable!]
  4. Naude, Wim, 2007. "Geography and Development in Africa: Overview and Implications for Regional Cooperation," Working Papers UNU-WIDER Research Paper , World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER). [Downloadable!]
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