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Gone with the wind: The consequences of US drone strikes in pakistan

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  • Rafat Mahmood
  • Michael Jetter

Abstract

Employing day-to-day wind conditions as an identification strategy, we explore the consequences of the 420 US drone strikes in Pakistan between 2006 and 2016. Results suggest that drone strikes encourage terrorism over the upcoming days and weeks, causing up to 19% of all terror attacks with more than 3,000 terror deaths in Pakistan during that period. Studying a leading Pakistani newspaper, we identify a polarised response to drone strikes as negative emotions and anger, but also positive emotions, in drone-related articles increase. Finally, anti-US protests and online searches exhibiting radical Islamist concepts increase as a consequence of drone strikes.

Suggested Citation

  • Rafat Mahmood & Michael Jetter, 2023. "Gone with the wind: The consequences of US drone strikes in pakistan," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 133(650), pages 787-811.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:econjl:v:133:y:2023:i:650:p:787-811.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/ej/ueac049
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    Cited by:

    1. Dimant, Eugen & Krieger, Tim & Meierrieks, Daniel, 2023. "Paying them to hate US: The effect of U.S. military aid on anti-American terrorism, 1968-2018," Discussion Paper Series 2023-02, University of Freiburg, Wilfried Guth Endowed Chair for Constitutional Political Economy and Competition Policy.

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