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The Industrial Cycle of Milan as an Accurate Leading Indicator for the Italian Business Cycle

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  • Matteo M. Pelagatti
  • Valeria Negri

Abstract

A coincident business cycle indicator for the Milan area is built on the basis of a monthly industrial survey carried out by Assolombarda, the largest territorial entrepreneurial association in Italy. The indicator is extracted from three time series concerning the production level and the domestic and foreign order book as declared by some 250 Assolombarda associates.

Suggested Citation

  • Matteo M. Pelagatti & Valeria Negri, 2010. "The Industrial Cycle of Milan as an Accurate Leading Indicator for the Italian Business Cycle," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2010(2), pages 1-17.
    • Handle: RePEc:oec:stdkab:5km37ft4zrns
    DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2010-5km37ft4zrns
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    Cited by:

    1. Andreas Brunhart, 2015. "The Swiss Business Cycle and the Lead of Small Neighbor Liechtenstein," Arbeitspapiere 51, Liechtenstein-Institut.
    2. Andreas Brunhart, 2017. "Are Microstates Necessarily Led by Their Bigger Neighbors’ Business Cycle? The Case of Liechtenstein and Switzerland," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 13(1), pages 29-52, May.

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