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Application of Simulation-based Approach for Determining the Value of Companies Operating in an Environment of Uncertainty

Author

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  • Petar Rangelov

    (University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria)

Abstract

The article focuses on a specific valuation technique based on probabilistic simulation of value-relevant factors determining the intrinsic value of companies. In this paper I present the practical aspects and relevant problems related to the application of this type of valuation methods. Basic probabilistic processes applicable to different enterprises depending on their economic characteristics are analyzed. In the practical part, the presented evaluation technique is applied for evaluation of a Bulgarian pharmaceutical company, as the main advantages and results are presented.

Suggested Citation

  • Petar Rangelov, 2022. "Application of Simulation-based Approach for Determining the Value of Companies Operating in an Environment of Uncertainty," Ikonomiceski i Sotsialni Alternativi, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 1, pages 111-131, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:nwe:iisabg:y:2022:i:1:p:111-131
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monte Carlo simulation; Ornshtain-Ulenbeck process; free cash flow to the firm model; enterprise value;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

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