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Influence of volcanic eruptions on Northern Hemisphere summer temperature over the past 600 years

Author

Listed:
  • K. R. Briffa

    (Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia)

  • P. D. Jones

    (Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia)

  • F. H. Schweingruber

    (Swiss Federal Institute of Forest, Snow and Landscape Research)

  • T. J. Osborn

    (Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia)

Abstract

A network of temperature-sensitive tree-ring-density chronologies provides circum-hemisphere information on year-by-year changes in summer warmth in different regions of the northern boreal forest1. Combining these data into a single time-series provides a good summer-temperature proxy for northern high latitudes and the Northern Hemisphere as a whole2. Here we use this well dated, high-resolution composite time-series to suggest that large explosive volcanic eruptions produced different extents of Northern Hemisphere cooling during the past 600 years. The large effect of some recent eruptions is apparent, such as in 1816, 1884 and 1912, but the relative effects of other known, and perhaps some previously unknown, pre-nineteenth-century eruptions are also evaluated. The most severe short-term Northern Hemisphere cooling event of the past 600 years occurred in 1601, suggesting that either the effect on climate of the eruption of Huaynaputina, Peru, in 1600 has previously been greatly underestimated, or another, as yet unidentified, eruption occurred at the same time. Other strong cooling events occurred in 1453, seemingly confirming a 1452 date for the eruption of Kuwae, southwest Pacific, and in 1641/42, 1666, 1695 and 1698.

Suggested Citation

  • K. R. Briffa & P. D. Jones & F. H. Schweingruber & T. J. Osborn, 1998. "Influence of volcanic eruptions on Northern Hemisphere summer temperature over the past 600 years," Nature, Nature, vol. 393(6684), pages 450-455, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:393:y:1998:i:6684:d:10.1038_30943
    DOI: 10.1038/30943
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    Cited by:

    1. Fabian Rodriguez & Theofilos Toulkeridis & Washington Sandoval & Oswaldo Padilla & Fernando Mato, 2017. "Economic risk assessment of Cotopaxi volcano, Ecuador, in case of a future lahar emplacement," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 85(1), pages 605-618, January.
    2. Uebele, Martin & Pfister, Ulrich & Riedel, Jana, 2012. "Real wages and the origins of modern economic growth in Germany, 16th to 19th centuries," VfS Annual Conference 2012 (Goettingen): New Approaches and Challenges for the Labor Market of the 21st Century 62076, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    3. Jasper G. Franke & Reik V. Donner, 2017. "Dynamical anomalies in terrestrial proxies of North Atlantic climate variability during the last 2 ka," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 143(1), pages 87-100, July.
    4. Vincent Gray, 2000. "The Cause of Global Warming," Energy & Environment, , vol. 11(6), pages 613-629, November.
    5. Gazeaux, Julien & Batista, Deborah & Ammann, Caspar M. & Naveau, Philippe & Jégat, Cyrille & Gao, Chaochao, 2013. "Extracting common pulse-like signals from multiple ice core time series," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 45-57.
    6. Liangjun Zhu & Shuguang Liu & Haifeng Zhu & David J. Cooper & Danyang Yuan & Yu Zhu & Zongshan Li & Yuandong Zhang & Hanxue Liang & Xu Zhang & Wenqi Song & Xiaochun Wang, 2022. "Multi-species approach strengthens the reliability of dendroclimatic reconstructions in monsoonal Northeast China," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 171(1), pages 1-22, March.
    7. Liang Yi & Hongjun Yu & Junyi Ge & Zhongping Lai & Xingyong Xu & Li Qin & Shuzhen Peng, 2012. "Reconstructions of annual summer precipitation and temperature in north-central China since 1470 AD based on drought/flood index and tree-ring records," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 110(1), pages 469-498, January.
    8. Dribe, Martin & Olsson, Mats & Svensson, Patrick, 2015. "Famines in the Nordic countries, AD 536–1875," Lund Papers in Economic History 138, Lund University, Department of Economic History.

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