IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v14y2023i1d10.1038_s41467-023-36498-w.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The role of tropical waves in the genesis of Tropical Cyclone Seroja in the Maritime Continent

Author

Listed:
  • Beata Latos

    (Polish Academy of Sciences)

  • Philippe Peyrillé

    (CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS)

  • Thierry Lefort

    (École Nationale de la Météorologie, Météo-France)

  • Dariusz B. Baranowski

    (Polish Academy of Sciences)

  • Maria K. Flatau

    (Naval Research Laboratory)

  • Piotr J. Flatau

    (University of California San Diego)

  • Nelly Florida Riama

    (Climatology and Geophysics of the Republic of Indonesia (BMKG))

  • Donaldi S. Permana

    (Climatology and Geophysics of the Republic of Indonesia (BMKG))

  • Adam V. Rydbeck

    (Stennis Space Center)

  • Adrian J. Matthews

    (University of East Anglia)

Abstract

Tropical cyclone Seroja was one of the first tropical cyclones to significantly impact Indonesian land, and the strongest one in such close proximity to Timor Island. In April 2021 Seroja brought historic flooding to near-equatorial regions of Indonesia and East Timor, as well as impacting Western Australia. Here we show that the unusual near-equatorial cyclogenesis in close proximity to a land mass was due to “perfect storm” conditions associated with multiple wave interactions. Specifically, this was associated with enhanced equatorial convection on the leading edge of a Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) event. Within the MJO, the interaction between a convectively coupled equatorial Rossby wave and two convectively coupled Kelvin waves span up the initial vortex and accelerated cyclogenesis. On average, such favorable atmospheric conditions can occur once per year. These results indicate the potential for increased predictability of tropical cyclones over the Maritime Continent.

Suggested Citation

  • Beata Latos & Philippe Peyrillé & Thierry Lefort & Dariusz B. Baranowski & Maria K. Flatau & Piotr J. Flatau & Nelly Florida Riama & Donaldi S. Permana & Adam V. Rydbeck & Adrian J. Matthews, 2023. "The role of tropical waves in the genesis of Tropical Cyclone Seroja in the Maritime Continent," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-36498-w
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-36498-w
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-36498-w
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-023-36498-w?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sujata K. Mandke & A. K. Sahai, 2016. "Twin tropical cyclones in the Indian Ocean: the role of equatorial waves," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(3), pages 2211-2224, December.
    2. Dariusz B. Baranowski & Maria K. Flatau & Piotr J. Flatau & Dwikorita Karnawati & Katarzyna Barabasz & Michal Labuz & Beata Latos & Jerome M. Schmidt & Jaka A. I. Paski & Marzuki, 2020. "Social-media and newspaper reports reveal large-scale meteorological drivers of floods on Sumatra," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dmitry Erokhin & Nadejda Komendantova, 2024. "Earthquake conspiracy discussion on Twitter," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-36498-w. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.