IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v12y2021i1d10.1038_s41467-021-25038-z.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

COVID-19 spread, detection, and dynamics in Bogota, Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Rachid Laajaj

    (University of Los Andes)

  • Camilo Los Rios

    (Inter-American Development Bank)

  • Ignacio Sarmiento-Barbieri

    (University of Los Andes)

  • Danilo Aristizabal

    (University of Los Andes)

  • Eduardo Behrentz

    (University of Los Andes)

  • Raquel Bernal

    (University of Los Andes)

  • Giancarlo Buitrago

    (Universidad Nacional de Colombia
    Hospital Universitario Nacional de Colombia)

  • Zulma Cucunubá

    (Imperial College London
    Universidad Pontificia Javeriana)

  • Fernando Hoz

    (Universidad Nacional de Colombia)

  • Alejandro Gaviria

    (University of Los Andes)

  • Luis Jorge Hernández

    (University of Los Andes)

  • Leonardo León

    (University of Los Andes)

  • Diane Moyano

    (Secretaria de Salud de Bogota)

  • Elkin Osorio

    (Secretaria de Salud de Bogota)

  • Andrea Ramírez Varela

    (University of Los Andes)

  • Silvia Restrepo

    (University of Los Andes)

  • Rodrigo Rodriguez

    (Secretaria de Salud de Bogota)

  • Norbert Schady

    (World Bank)

  • Martha Vives

    (University of Los Andes)

  • Duncan Webb

    (Paris School of Economics)

Abstract

Latin America has been severely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic but estimations of rates of infections are very limited and lack the level of detail required to guide policy decisions. We implemented a COVID-19 sentinel surveillance study with 59,770 RT-PCR tests on mostly asymptomatic individuals and combine this data with administrative records on all detected cases to capture the spread and dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic in Bogota from June 2020 to early March 2021. We describe various features of the pandemic that appear to be specific to a middle income countries. We find that, by March 2021, slightly more than half of the population in Bogota has been infected, despite only a small fraction of this population being detected. The initial buildup of immunity contributed to the containment of the pandemic in the first and second waves. We also show that the share of the population infected by March 2021 varies widely by occupation, socio-economic stratum, and location. This, in turn, has affected the dynamics of the spread with different groups being infected in the two waves.

Suggested Citation

  • Rachid Laajaj & Camilo Los Rios & Ignacio Sarmiento-Barbieri & Danilo Aristizabal & Eduardo Behrentz & Raquel Bernal & Giancarlo Buitrago & Zulma Cucunubá & Fernando Hoz & Alejandro Gaviria & Luis Jor, 2021. "COVID-19 spread, detection, and dynamics in Bogota, Colombia," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-8, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:12:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-021-25038-z
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-25038-z
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-25038-z
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-021-25038-z?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gorji, Mohammad-Ali & Shetab-Boushehri, Seyyed-Nader & Akbarzadeh, Meisam, 2022. "Developing public transportation resilience against the epidemic through government tax policies: A game-theoretic approach," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 229-239.
    2. Hevia, Constantino & Macera, Manuel & Neumeyer, Pablo Andrés, 2022. "Covid-19 in unequal societies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:12:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-021-25038-z. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.