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Future increases in extreme precipitation exceed observed scaling rates

Author

Listed:
  • Jiawei Bao

    (Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales)

  • Steven C. Sherwood

    (Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales)

  • Lisa V. Alexander

    (Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales)

  • Jason P. Evans

    (Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales)

Abstract

Extreme rainfall is predicted to increase with warming; however observations show differing rates of change. This study shows rainfall-associated cooling reduces the observed scaling rate. Projections show increased scaling rates in the future particularly for the strongest extremes.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiawei Bao & Steven C. Sherwood & Lisa V. Alexander & Jason P. Evans, 2017. "Future increases in extreme precipitation exceed observed scaling rates," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(2), pages 128-132, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:7:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1038_nclimate3201
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3201
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Conrad Wasko & Rory Nathan, 2019. "The local dependency of precipitation on historical changes in temperature," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 156(1), pages 105-120, September.
    2. Irena Nimac & Ksenija Cindrić Kalin & Tanja Renko & Tatjana Vujnović & Kristian Horvath, 2022. "The analysis of summer 2020 urban flood in Zagreb (Croatia) from hydro-meteorological point of view," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 112(1), pages 873-897, May.
    3. Dominik Traxl & Niklas Boers & Aljoscha Rheinwalt & Bodo Bookhagen, 2021. "The role of cyclonic activity in tropical temperature-rainfall scaling," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-9, December.
    4. Wei Zhang & Gabriele Villarini & Michael Wehner, 2019. "Contrasting the responses of extreme precipitation to changes in surface air and dew point temperatures," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 154(1), pages 257-271, May.
    5. Zhiwei Yong & Junnan Xiong & Zegen Wang & Weiming Cheng & Jiawei Yang & Quan Pang, 2021. "Relationship of extreme precipitation, surface air temperature, and dew point temperature across the Tibetan Plateau," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(1), pages 1-22, March.
    6. Lei Gu & Jiabo Yin & Pierre Gentine & Hui-Min Wang & Louise J. Slater & Sylvia C. Sullivan & Jie Chen & Jakob Zscheischler & Shenglian Guo, 2023. "Large anomalies in future extreme precipitation sensitivity driven by atmospheric dynamics," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    7. M. A. Ben Alaya & F. W. Zwiers & X. Zhang, 2020. "Probable maximum precipitation in a warming climate over North America in CanRCM4 and CRCM5," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 158(3), pages 611-629, February.
    8. Zhiwei Yong & Zegen Wang & Junnan Xiong & Chongchong Ye & Huaizhang Sun & Shaojie Wu, 2023. "Variability in temperature extremes across the Tibetan Plateau and its non-uniform responses to different ENSO types," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(7), pages 1-19, July.

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