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September Arctic sea-ice minimum predicted by spring melt-pond fraction

Author

Listed:
  • David Schröder

    (CPOM, University of Reading, PO Box 243 Reading, RG6 6BB, UK)

  • Daniel L. Feltham

    (CPOM, University of Reading, PO Box 243 Reading, RG6 6BB, UK)

  • Daniela Flocco

    (CPOM, University of Reading, PO Box 243 Reading, RG6 6BB, UK)

  • Michel Tsamados

    (CPOM, University of Reading, PO Box 243 Reading, RG6 6BB, UK)

Abstract

Prediction of seasonal Arctic sea-ice extent is of increased interest as the region opens up due to climate change. This work uses spring melt-pond area to forecast the Arctic sea-ice minimum in September. This proves accurate, as increasing melt-ponds reduce surface albedo, allowing more melt to occur, creating a positive feedback mechanism.

Suggested Citation

  • David Schröder & Daniel L. Feltham & Daniela Flocco & Michel Tsamados, 2014. "September Arctic sea-ice minimum predicted by spring melt-pond fraction," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(5), pages 353-357, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:4:y:2014:i:5:d:10.1038_nclimate2203
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2203
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    Cited by:

    1. Diebold, Francis X. & Rudebusch, Glenn D., 2022. "Probability assessments of an ice-free Arctic: Comparing statistical and climate model projections," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 520-534.
    2. Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2019. "Probability Assessments of an Ice-Free Arctic: Comparing Statistical and Climate Model Projections," PIER Working Paper Archive 19-021, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.

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